CHA -4.5 o228.0
WAS 4.5 u228.0
MIA 1.0 o208.5
ORL -1.0 u208.5
OKC -5.5 o227.0
IND 5.5 u227.0
CHI 6.0 o242.5
ATL -6.0 u242.5
HOU -7.5 o221.5
NO 7.5 u221.5
BK 9.5 o206.5
MIL -9.5 u206.5
TOR 11.0 o240.0
MEM -11.0 u240.0
DET 5.5 o226.5
SAC -5.5 u226.5
UTA 3.0 o225.5
POR -3.0 u225.5
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
NBCS - BA, NBALP, WFAA

Golden State @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.2 mark last season. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.2 mark last season. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Derrick Jones Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

P.J. Washington has attempted just 11.1 shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.4 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington measures in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game at home this year. In comparison to last year's 73.9% rate, P.J. Washington's foul-shot proficiency has dropped this year to 63.3%.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

P.J. Washington has attempted just 11.1 shots per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.4 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington measures in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.2 fouls per game at home this year. In comparison to last year's 73.9% rate, P.J. Washington's foul-shot proficiency has dropped this year to 63.3%.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-102

Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 7.7 per game this year. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 77.0% rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s free-throw effectiveness has risen this season to 86.2%. Tim Hardaway Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts, posting 7.7 per game this year. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 77.0% rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s free-throw effectiveness has risen this season to 86.2%. Tim Hardaway Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player performance in all stat categories.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has converted 61.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Dante Exum has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.3% more than he's made over the course of the year. Dante Exum ought to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Dante Exum

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Dante Exum has converted 61.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 9.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Dante Exum has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.3% more than he's made over the course of the year. Dante Exum ought to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-104

Daniel Gafford has made 80.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 10.0% more than he's sunk overall this season. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.4 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance for all stats.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Daniel Gafford has made 80.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 10.0% more than he's sunk overall this season. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has attempted 2.4 free throws per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league. Daniel Gafford will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance for all stats.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has successfully made 48.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Relative to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have spiked this season to 10.5 per game. Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.1
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.1

Luka Doncic has successfully made 48.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Relative to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shots from behind the three-point arc have spiked this season to 10.5 per game. Luka Doncic has been on the court for 37.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile. The 5th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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