LIVE 02:44 3rd Nov 21
ORL 85 5.0 o216.0
LAL 84 -5.0 u216.0
Final OT Nov 21
DET 121 -2.0 o222.0
CHA 123 2.0 u222.0
Final Nov 21
MIN 105 -7.0 o226.0
TOR 110 7.0 u226.0
Final Nov 21
UTA 118 3.0 o224.0
SA 126 -3.0 u224.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
NBALP

Sacramento @ Oklahoma City props

Paycom Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kenrich Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

K. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Kenrich Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 50.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Kenrich Williams will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance for all stats.

Kenrich Williams

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Kenrich Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 50.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Kenrich Williams will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player performance for all stats.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has made 51.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 17.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a good matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Ellis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Keon Ellis has made 51.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 17.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, designating this as a good matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Josh Giddey has converted 7.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Josh Giddey has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's played in all games this year. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Josh Giddey has sunk an impressive 81.1% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 70.1 rate last season.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Josh Giddey has converted 7.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Josh Giddey has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's played in all games this year. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Josh Giddey has sunk an impressive 81.1% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 70.1 rate last season.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Under
-118

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%). The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games. In terms of drawing fouls, the Kings's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%). The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games. In terms of drawing fouls, the Kings's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes ranks in the 82nd percentile for 3-pointers scored, putting up 1.9 per game this year. Harrison Barnes has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Among all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes ranks in the 82nd percentile for 3-pointers scored, putting up 1.9 per game this year. Harrison Barnes has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games. In terms of drawing fouls, the Kings's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. De'Aaron Fox ought to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games. In terms of drawing fouls, the Kings's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. De'Aaron Fox ought to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Under
-110

The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games. In terms of drawing fouls, the Kings's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Domantas Sabonis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

The Kings have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games. In terms of drawing fouls, the Kings's unimpressive 19.3 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. Domantas Sabonis will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 45.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 10.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game at home this year. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.4

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 45.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 10.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.4 minutes per game at home this year. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 58.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 12.4% more than he's converted in all games this season when playing away from home. Davion Mitchell has converted 51.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 21.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 58.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 12.4% more than he's converted in all games this season when playing away from home. Davion Mitchell has converted 51.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 21.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 24.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Sacramento Kings. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Chet Holmgren has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season. The clash with Domantas Sabonis measures in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs scoring only 12.9 points per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Thunder. The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Sabonis is playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

Chet Holmgren has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season. The clash with Domantas Sabonis measures in the 7th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs scoring only 12.9 points per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Thunder. The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Sabonis is playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game (10th percentile).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Williams has converted 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Compared to last season's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's 3-point effectiveness has spiked this season to 43.2%. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a strong matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Jalen Williams has converted 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Compared to last season's 33.7% mark, Jalen Williams's 3-point effectiveness has spiked this season to 43.2%. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a strong matchup.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a good matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.0 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to offense, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 122.9 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a good matchup. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home. Luguentz Dort has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic