Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-36
WVUE, NBALP, NBCS - BA

New Orleans @ Golden State picks

Chase Center

NO vs GS Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Thompson u20.5 Points Scored
Projection 18.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u20.5 -107 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 376 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -115
19.5 -115
19.5 -110
19.5 -120
20.5 -125
20.5 -107
19.5 -115
19.5 -119
19.5 -110
19.5 -120
20.5 -104
20.5 -118

In comparison to last season's 10.6 clip, Klay Thompson's shot attempts from downtown have diminished this season to 9.0 per game. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's poor 16.2 foul shots per game places worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Points Scored
T. Jackson-Davis o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 376 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 -120
10.5 -110
10.5 -119
10.5 -115
10.5 -120
10.5 -110
10.5 -110
10.5 -110

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 78.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year at home. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Points Scored
H. Jones o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -102 fanduel
Projection updated: 376 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -110
9.5 -120
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -111
9.5 -123
9.5 -115
9.5 -115
9.5 -102
9.5 -120

Herbert Jones has sunk 39.5% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Herbert Jones has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Total Assists
B. Podziemski o2.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -115 draftkings
Projection updated: 376 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -115
2.5 -115
2.5 -120
2.5 -115
2.5 -115
2.5 -115

Brandin Podziemski has compiled 3.7 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category in recent days: 82nd percentile. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Brandin Podziemski should see a spike in output across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
B. Podziemski o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -124 fanduel
Projection updated: 376 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -130
7.5 +100
7.5 -135
7.5 +100
7.5 -130
7.5 +100
7.5 -124
7.5 +102

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's made overall this season. Brandin Podziemski should see a spike in output across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
D. Green o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +102 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 376 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 +102
8.5 -134
8.5 -111
8.5 -123
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -102
8.5 -120

The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

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