Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-36
WVUE, NBALP, NBCS - BA

New Orleans @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-107

In comparison to last season's 10.6 clip, Klay Thompson's shot attempts from downtown have diminished this season to 9.0 per game. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's poor 16.2 foul shots per game places worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

In comparison to last season's 10.6 clip, Klay Thompson's shot attempts from downtown have diminished this season to 9.0 per game. The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's poor 16.2 foul shots per game places worst in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the New Orleans Pelicans may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 78.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year at home. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Trayce Jackson-Davis has sunk 78.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year at home. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trayce Jackson-Davis has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-102

Herbert Jones has sunk 39.5% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Herbert Jones has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Herbert Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Herbert Jones has sunk 39.5% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Herbert Jones has tallied 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a strong matchup. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's made overall this season. Brandin Podziemski should see a spike in output across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Brandin Podziemski has sunk 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's made overall this season. Brandin Podziemski should see a spike in output across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+102

The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.4). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out best in in the NBA as the home team with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

Andrew Wiggins has averaged just 27.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.7 minutes per game last season. The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.1). The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's poor 16.2 foul shots per game places worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Andrew Wiggins has averaged just 27.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.7 minutes per game last season. The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (9.1). The Golden State Warriors are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league over the last 15 games (the New Orleans Pelicans). With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's poor 16.2 foul shots per game places worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Trey Murphy III has attempted 9.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Trey Murphy III has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors). Trey Murphy III has made 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.3 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Trey Murphy III has attempted 9.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Trey Murphy III has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors). Trey Murphy III has made 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.3 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing away from home.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.2
Best Odds
Under
-114

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.2

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). CJ McCollum will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production in all stat categories.

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
+100

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 2.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 26.5% less than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (92nd percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonas Valanciunas will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production across the board.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 2.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 26.5% less than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (92nd percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Jonas Valanciunas will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production across the board.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • New Orleans

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dyson Daniels has successfully made 53.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court. Dyson Daniels has sunk 1.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season. Dyson Daniels has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied overall this season. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Dyson Daniels has successfully made 53.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year away from his home court. Dyson Daniels has sunk 1.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's sunk overall this season. Dyson Daniels has tallied 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied overall this season. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Zion Williamson has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Zion Williamson has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Zion Williamson measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 31.5 minutes per game this year. In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's stellar 116.6 points per game away from home measures as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The New Orleans Pelicans will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Over
-121

Stephen Curry has converted 52.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's made in all games this year. Stephen Curry has attempted 11.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.7 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, labeling this as a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Stephen Curry has converted 52.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's made in all games this year. Stephen Curry has attempted 11.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.7 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.1 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, labeling this as a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games at home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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