Final Apr 10
CLE 112 10.0 o234.5
IND 114 -10.0 u234.5
Final Apr 10
NY 106 3.5 o229.0
DET 115 -3.5 u229.0
Final Apr 10
ATL 133 -13.0 o234.5
BK 109 13.0 u234.5
Final Apr 10
NO 111 16.5 o223.0
MIL 136 -16.5 u223.0
Final Apr 10
MIN 141 -2.0 o230.5
MEM 125 2.0 u230.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
TSN, TNT, TRUTV

Dallas @ Oklahoma City picks

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DAL vs OKC Picks

NBA Picks
3-Pointers Made
L. Doncic o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 4.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +320 fanduel
Projection updated: 339 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -110
3.5 -120
3.5 -105
3.5 -125
1.5 -128
1.5 -112
3.5 -110
3.5 -110
1.5 +320
1.5 -500

In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 10.7 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

3-Pointers Made
J. Williams o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +280 fanduel
Projection updated: 338 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -110
1.5 -120
1.5 -105
1.5 -125
1.5 +230
1.5 -375
0.5 +117
0.5 -169
1.5 +105
1.5 -125
0.5 +280
0.5 -420

Relative to last year's 33.7% clip, Jalen Williams's three-point efficiency has jumped this year to 42.5%. Jalen Williams has played 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In terms of threes, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 38.7% rate of converted threes settles in as the best in the NBA this year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.2 three attempts per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Points Scored
D. Gafford u16.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 +136 fanduel
Projection updated: 338 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
8.5 -135
8.5 +100
16.5 +115
16.5 -162
16.5 -122
16.5 -118
8.5 -130
8.5 +110
16.5 -174
16.5 +136

Relative to last year's 75.2% clip, Daniel Gafford's shooting performance has diminished this year to 69.4%. Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 treys per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been poor at getting to the foul line as the visting team: 7th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.7 free throws per game.

3-Pointers Made
J. Giddey o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +174 fanduel
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +175
1.5 -225
1.5 +145
1.5 -190
0.5 +117
0.5 -169
1.5 +160
1.5 -192
0.5 +174
0.5 -240

Josh Giddey has sunk 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year. In terms of threes, the Oklahoma City Thunder's exceptional 38.7% rate of converted threes settles in as the best in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Josh Giddey will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance in all stat categories.

Points Scored
J. Williams o12.5 Points Scored
Projection 20.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -103 caesars
Projection updated: 338 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -120
20.5 -110
20.5 -130
20.5 +100
13.5 -152
13.5 +108
12.5 -103
12.5 -141
20.5 -142
20.5 +120
18.5 -150
18.5 +118

Relative to last year's 33.7% clip, Jalen Williams's three-point efficiency has jumped this year to 42.5%. Jalen Williams has played 30.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a positive matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Total Rebounds
K. Irving o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 +104 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 339 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -135
4.5 +105
4.5 -145
4.5 +105
2.5 +104
2.5 -148
2.5 -130
2.5 -110
4.5 -155
4.5 +130
4.5 -142
4.5 +116

Kyrie Irving has totaled 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.7 more than he's totaled over the course of the year on the road. Kyrie Irving has averaged 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
J. Giddey o4.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -113 fanduel
Projection updated: 339 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -125
10.5 -105
10.5 -130
10.5 -105
6.5 -115
6.5 -121
6.5 -120
6.5 -120
10.5 -108
10.5 -112
4.5 -113
4.5 -113

Josh Giddey has sunk 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year. The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's converted overall this season playing at home.

Points Scored
L. Doncic o20.5 Points Scored
Projection 32.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o20.5 -178 fanduel
Projection updated: 339 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
31.5 -120
31.5 -110
31.5 -135
31.5 +100
22.5 -143
22.5 -101
31.5 -125
31.5 +105
20.5 -178
20.5 +138

Out of all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic ranks in the 100th percentile, posting a whopping 33.5 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 clip, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have surged this year to 10.7 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while on the road this year. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Points Scored
P. Washington o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -145 caesars
Projection updated: 338 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -125
10.5 -105
10.5 -145
10.5 +110
10.5 -120
10.5 -117
8.5 -145
8.5 +101
10.5 -155
10.5 +130
11.5 +108
11.5 -138

Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Total Rebounds
C. Holmgren o6.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 9 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -114 caesars
Projection updated: 338 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -140
8.5 +110
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
7.5 +100
7.5 -137
6.5 -114
6.5 -127
8.5 -122
8.5 +102
8.5 -110
8.5 -110

Chet Holmgren has averaged 6.4 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 96th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 29.1 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. Chet Holmgren will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

DAL vs OKC Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

62% picking Oklahoma City

38%
62%

Total Picks DAL 334, OKC 555

Spread
DAL
OKC
Total

68% picking Dallas vs Oklahoma City to go Over

68%
32%

Total PicksDAL 475, OKC 222

Total
Over
Under

DAL vs OKC Top User Picks

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User Picks

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