Final Nov 23
NY 106 -8.5 o234.0
UTA 121 8.5 u234.0
Final Nov 23
DET 100 9.0 o207.5
ORL 111 -9.0 u207.5
Final Nov 23
CHA 119 8.0 o224.0
MIL 125 -8.0 u224.0
Final Nov 23
MEM 142 -4.0 o244.0
CHI 131 4.0 u244.0
Final Nov 23
POR 104 11.5 o226.5
HOU 98 -11.5 u226.5
Final Nov 23
GS 94 -3.5 o229.0
SA 104 3.5 u229.0
Final Nov 23
DEN 127 4.0 o236.0
LAL 102 -4.0 u236.0
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25

Dallas @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+1800
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+1800
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has converted 71.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's converted overall this year while at home. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Aaron Wiggins has sunk 90.2% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Aaron Wiggins figures to see a rise in production in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Aaron Wiggins has converted 71.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's converted overall this year while at home. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Aaron Wiggins has sunk 90.2% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 8.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Aaron Wiggins figures to see a rise in production in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
+370

Isaiah Joe has converted 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The matchup vs. Kyrie Irving is a good one for shots from the field; when Irving is on the road fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk a colossal 47.5% of their field goals (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Isaiah Joe has converted 41.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The matchup vs. Kyrie Irving is a good one for shots from the field; when Irving is on the road fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk a colossal 47.5% of their field goals (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Over
+126

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 85th percentile for shots sunk, logging a monstrous 6.1 per game this year. Chet Holmgren has tallied 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one for threes; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 35.1% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 85th percentile for shots sunk, logging a monstrous 6.1 per game this year. Chet Holmgren has tallied 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a good one for threes; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 35.1% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. The Mavericks have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (25.5%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Relative to last season's 73.3% rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s free-throw performance has diminished this season to 65.3%.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. The Mavericks have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (25.5%). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. Relative to last season's 73.3% rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s free-throw performance has diminished this season to 65.3%.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 97th percentile for shots made without the home court advantage, logging a whopping 9.2 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 97th percentile for shots made without the home court advantage, logging a whopping 9.2 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a strong one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

In comparison to last season's 14.1 rate, Jalen Williams's points per game have risen this season to 19.1. Jalen Williams has made 44.8% of his 3-point shots playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Williams has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's played in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

In comparison to last season's 14.1 rate, Jalen Williams's points per game have risen this season to 19.1. Jalen Williams has made 44.8% of his 3-point shots playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Williams has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's played in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-135

P.J. Washington has averaged 20.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has sunk 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season. P.J. Washington has tallied 35.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

P.J. Washington has averaged 20.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. P.J. Washington has sunk 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season. P.J. Washington has tallied 35.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 68.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 68.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II has attempted 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks). The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 10.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's number of free throws has declined this year to 8.6 free throws per game. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.4
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.4

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks). The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 10.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's number of free throws has declined this year to 8.6 free throws per game. Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

The rate of threes drained against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (35.0%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The clash with Chet Holmgren in terms of getting to the charity stripe measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.6 foul shots per game this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

The rate of threes drained against Chet Holmgren has been quite high (35.0%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (83rd percentile). The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder). The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The clash with Chet Holmgren in terms of getting to the charity stripe measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.6 foul shots per game this year.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Luguentz Dort has made 39.4% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Luguentz Dort has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Luguentz Dort has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing at home.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Luguentz Dort has made 39.4% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Luguentz Dort has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Luguentz Dort has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while playing at home.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, tallying a colossal 33.0 points per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.2 mark last year. Luka Doncic has tallied 37.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic measures in the 100th percentile, tallying a colossal 33.0 points per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 8.2 mark last year. Luka Doncic has tallied 37.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. the Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Thunder).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-102

With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Josh Giddey has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made over the course of the year. Josh Giddey will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

With respect to scoring, the Thunder's remarkable 122.1 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Josh Giddey has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made over the course of the year. Josh Giddey will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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