Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
TRUTV, TNT, TSN

Dallas @ Minnesota picks

Target Center

DAL vs MIN Picks

NBA Picks
3-Pointers Made
K. Irving o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +280 draftkings
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -125
2.5 -105
2.5 -125
2.5 -105
1.5 +255
1.5 -435
0.5 -135
0.5 -106
0.5 +280
0.5 -355
0.5 +136
0.5 -182

Kyrie Irving has sunk 40.6% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA. Kyrie Irving has averaged 34.8 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Total Assists
P. Washington o0.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +250 draftkings
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +100
1.5 -130
1.5 +100
1.5 -135
1.5 +131
1.5 -192
0.5 +250
0.5 -310

P.J. Washington has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Total Rebounds
R. Gobert o8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 12.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +185 draftkings
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -115
12.5 -115
12.5 -135
12.5 +100
8.5 -110
8.5 -125
10.5 -106
10.5 -135
8.5 +185
8.5 -225
12.5 -106
12.5 -114

Rudy Gobert has totaled 9.6 defensive boards per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. Rudy Gobert will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

3-Pointers Made
K. Towns o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +225 fanduel
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -185
1.5 +150
1.5 -190
1.5 +140
1.5 -105
1.5 -134
1.5 -152
1.5 +105
1.5 +215
1.5 -265
1.5 +225
1.5 -320

Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2.1 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.2 three attempts per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. Karl-Anthony Towns ought to see an increase in productivity across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Assists
K. Towns o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +136 draftkings
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +100
3.5 -130
3.5 +125
3.5 -165
2.5 +140
2.5 -200
1.5 +128
1.5 -189
1.5 +136
1.5 -162
3.5 +136
3.5 -168

Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 4.0 assists per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this year at home. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. Karl-Anthony Towns ought to see an increase in productivity across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Total Assists
M. Conley o4.5 Total Assists
Projection 6.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +170 draftkings
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +120
6.5 -150
4.5 -155
4.5 +112
4.5 +103
4.5 -147
4.5 +170
4.5 -205
5.5 -154
5.5 +126

Mike Conley has totaled 6.0 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category in recent days. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. Mike Conley should see a spike in productivity for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
A. Edwards o18.5 Points Scored
Projection 27.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o18.5 -104 fanduel
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
27.5 -115
27.5 -115
27.5 -135
27.5 +100
19.5 -103
19.5 -136
20.5 -135
20.5 -106
19.5 +110
19.5 -130
18.5 -104
18.5 -122

Anthony Edwards has successfully made 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while playing at home. Anthony Edwards has averaged 40.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for scoring; when defending other starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 44.1% of their shots from the field (75th percentile).

Total Rebounds
L. Doncic o5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 9.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +109 caesars
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 -130
8.5 -105
5.5 +109
5.5 -156
5.5 -125
5.5 +105
9.5 +110
9.5 -134

Luka Doncic has tallied 10.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. Luka Doncic has tallied 37.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Points Scored
K. Towns o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -118 draftkings
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -110
20.5 -120
20.5 -105
20.5 -125
16.5 -134
16.5 -103
13.5 -141
13.5 -103
13.5 -118
13.5 -102
14.5 -120
14.5 -106

Karl-Anthony Towns has posted 19.4 points per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 93rd percentile for foul shots made when playing at home, averaging an enormous 4.1 per game this year.

Total Rebounds
M. Conley o1.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +105 caesars
Projection updated: 340 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +115
3.5 -145
2.5 -125
2.5 -112
1.5 +105
1.5 -152
2.5 +110
2.5 -130
3.5 +114
3.5 -140

Mike Conley has put up 4.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's put up in all games this season. Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games playing at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. Mike Conley should see a spike in productivity for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

DAL vs MIN Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

61% picking Minnesota

39%
61%

Total Picks DAL 360, MIN 553

Total

62% picking Dallas vs Minnesota to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksDAL 458, MIN 279

DAL vs MIN Top User Picks

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User Picks

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