UTA 9.5 o229.0
MIL -9.5 u229.0
MIN -9.0 o227.5
CHI 9.0 u227.5
POR 4.0 o217.5
SA -4.0 u217.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18

Dallas @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
+116

The matchup against Boston is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

The matchup against Boston is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
+112

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 59.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Jrue Holiday has played 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jrue Holiday has successfully made 59.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Jrue Holiday has played 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played in all games this year. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Over
-128

Jayson Tatum has sunk 10.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season. Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.1 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jayson Tatum has played 43.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's played overall this season. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has attempted 7.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

Jayson Tatum has sunk 10.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this season. Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.1 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jayson Tatum has played 43.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 higher than he's played overall this season. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has attempted 7.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-179

Kristaps Porzingis has made 1.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kristaps Porzingis will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player performance across the board.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Kristaps Porzingis has made 1.9 treys per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 28.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kristaps Porzingis will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally improves player performance across the board.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+103
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
+103
Projection Rating

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, resulting in a good matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, resulting in a good matchup.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Under
+112
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Under
+112
Projection Rating

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.4
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.4

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+134

Al Horford has converted 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Al Horford has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 72.6% rate, Al Horford's foul-shot ability has spiked this season to 82.5%. Al Horford will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player production for all stats.

Al Horford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Al Horford has converted 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Al Horford has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 72.6% rate, Al Horford's foul-shot ability has spiked this season to 82.5%. Al Horford will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player production for all stats.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it easy to draw fouls.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 97th percentile for field goals hit, compiling a colossal 9.1 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has averaged 40.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 97th percentile for field goals hit, compiling a colossal 9.1 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has averaged 40.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this season. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

Derrick White has attempted 14.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Derrick White has attempted 9.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Derrick White has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production for all stats.

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Derrick White has attempted 14.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Derrick White has attempted 9.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. Derrick White has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production for all stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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