Memphis @ Dallas picks

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 95th percentile for scoring performance on his home court with an exceptional 68.1% rate this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when Clarke is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game (78th percentile).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).