LIVE 01:04 4th Dec 26
TOR 123 10.5 o241.0
MEM 154 -10.5 u241.0
LIVE 00:47 4th Dec 26
BK 109 6.0 o205.5
MIL 102 -6.0 u205.5
LIVE 07:25 1st Dec 26
DET 17 5.0 o226.5
SAC 15 -5.0 u226.5
LIVE 06:25 1st Dec 26
UTA 11 3.0 o228.0
POR 7 -3.0 u228.0
Final Dec 26
MIA 89 1.0 o209.0
ORL 88 -1.0 u209.0
Final Dec 26
CHA 110 -4.5 o231.0
WAS 113 4.5 u231.0
Final Dec 26
OKC 120 -5.0 o227.5
IND 114 5.0 u227.5
Final Dec 26
CHI 133 5.0 o240.5
ATL 141 -5.0 u240.5
Final Dec 26
HOU 128 -7.0 o221.5
NO 111 7.0 u221.5
Memphis 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE20-10
Dallas 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE19-11

Memphis @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 95th percentile for scoring performance on his home court with an exceptional 68.1% rate this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when Clarke is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game (78th percentile).

Dereck Lively

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 95th percentile for scoring performance on his home court with an exceptional 68.1% rate this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Brandon Clarke is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when Clarke is playing on the road other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game (78th percentile).

Brandon Clarke Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Clarke
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Brandon Clarke has converted 77.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. The number of shot attempts from the field against Dereck Lively II has been remarkably high (12.4 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Brandon Clarke

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Brandon Clarke has converted 77.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. The number of shot attempts from the field against Dereck Lively II has been remarkably high (12.4 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 threes per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 threes per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving has attempted 22.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 10.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Kyrie Irving has played 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Kyrie Irving has attempted 22.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 10.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Kyrie Irving has played 33.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson comes in at the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on his home court, tallying 7.7 per game this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 94th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 95.8% rate this year.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson comes in at the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on his home court, tallying 7.7 per game this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 94th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with an excellent 95.8% rate this year.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has sunk 63.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama places in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.2 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Santi Aldama has sunk 63.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama places in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.2 fouls per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has made 58.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. P.J. Washington has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 6.5 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

P.J. Washington has made 58.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. P.J. Washington has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 6.5 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.4% of his field goals on his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has made 95.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 13.8% more than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 74.4% of his field goals on his home court this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Daniel Gafford has made 95.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 13.8% more than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage.

Ja Morant Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Morant
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Ja Morant has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Ja Morant has attempted 5.7 3-point shots per game over the last 9 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Ja Morant

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Ja Morant has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Ja Morant has attempted 5.7 3-point shots per game over the last 9 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Jaylen Wells Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Wells
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jaylen Wells has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Jaylen Wells

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Jaylen Wells has successfully made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three overall this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jaylen Wells has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.1% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Jaren Jackson Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson
center C • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 92nd percentile, posting a whopping 22.4 points per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jaren Jackson

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 92nd percentile, posting a whopping 22.4 points per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest tempo in the league away from their home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.4
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 96th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging an enormous 6.4 foul shots per game this year.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.4

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies). The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic ranks in the 96th percentile for getting to the foul line, logging an enormous 6.4 foul shots per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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