Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
LA 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-32
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

LA @ Denver picks

Ball Arena

LAC vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
J. Harden u23.5 Points Scored
Projection 18.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u23.5 -102 fanduel
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
23.5 -120
23.5 -110
23.5 -117
23.5 -114
23.5 -120
23.5 -114
23.5 -115
23.5 -115
23.5 -120
23.5 -102

In terms of shot attempts from the field, the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season has been the LA Clippers. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a tough matchup. The Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city since the start of last season, which ought to reduce possessions for the Clippers. James Harden figures to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Points Scored
I. Zubac o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -118 fanduel
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
14.5 -105
14.5 -130
13.5 -139
13.5 +105
14.5 -111
14.5 -123
14.5 -110
14.5 -120
13.5 -118
13.5 -104

Ivica Zubac has made 65.7% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season. When defending other starting Cs, Nikola Jokic places in the 96th percentile with an enormous 12.0 field goal attempts against him per game since the start of last season. Ivica Zubac has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup with Nikola Jokic when it comes to getting to the free-throw line ranks in just the 80th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season when they are on the away squad.

Points Scored
D. Jones o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +100
8.5 -135
8.5 -122
8.5 -109
8.5 +100
8.5 -137
8.5 -105
8.5 -125
8.5 -108
8.5 -112

The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.

Total Rebounds
J. Murray o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +116 caesars
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +115
3.5 -150
3.5 -112
3.5 -120
3.5 +116
3.5 -161
3.5 +100
3.5 -130
3.5 -102
3.5 -125

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game at home since the start of last season. Jamal Murray will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises stat production across the board.

Points Scored
N. Jokić u26.5 Points Scored
Projection 23.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u26.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
25.5 -115
25.5 -120
25.5 -133
25.5 -103
26.5 -110
26.5 -120
25.5 -122
25.5 +100

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season. When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Denver Nuggets. The 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the league since the start of last season has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-slowest tempo team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Clippers).

Total Rebounds
N. Jokić u12.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 11.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u12.5 -101 caesars
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -120
12.5 -110
12.5 -135
12.5 -101
12.5 -120
12.5 -110
12.5 -114
12.5 -106

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season. The 3rd-most sluggish pace home team in the league since the start of last season has been the Nuggets. The Denver Nuggets will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-slowest tempo team in the NBA since the start of last season (the Clippers).

Points Scored
T. Mann o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -105
9.5 -125
9.5 -110
9.5 -121
9.5 -118
9.5 -118
9.5 -125
9.5 -105
9.5 -110
9.5 -110

Among all players in the NBA, Terance Mann measures in the 80th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a stellar 38.2% rate since the start of last season. The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season. Among all players in the league, Terance Mann ranks in the 79th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a stellar 84.1% rate since the start of last season.

Total Rebounds
T. Mann o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +106 caesars
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +105
3.5 -140
3.5 -103
3.5 -130
3.5 +106
3.5 -145
3.5 +100
3.5 -130
3.5 -102
3.5 -120

Terance Mann has tallied 1.4 offensive boards per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.

Total Assists
J. Murray o5.5 Total Assists
Projection 6.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 184 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 +125
5.5 -155
5.5 +120
5.5 -160
5.5 -105
5.5 -127
5.5 +112
5.5 -154
5.5 -105
5.5 -125
5.5 -102
5.5 -120

Jamal Murray has posted 6.3 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 96th percentile. Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game at home since the start of last season. Jamal Murray will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises stat production across the board.

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