NY -9.0 o233.5
UTA 9.0 u233.5
DET 9.5 o207.0
ORL -9.5 u207.0
CHA 7.5 o223.5
MIL -7.5 u223.5
MEM -5.5 o240.0
CHI 5.5 u240.0
POR 12.5 o226.5
HOU -12.5 u226.5
GS -3.0 o227.0
SA 3.0 u227.0
DEN 4.5 o235.0
LAL -4.5 u235.0
Phoenix 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE9-7
Dallas 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE9-7

Phoenix @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has made a mere 14.3% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly less than his 43.2 mark last season. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Naji Marshall

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Naji Marshall has made a mere 14.3% of his shots from downtown this season, significantly less than his 43.2 mark last season. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 0.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have decreased this season to 28.6. Relative to last year's 47.6% rate, Luka Doncic's scoring prowess has been reduced this year to 40.2%. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 12.2 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive production. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Luka Dončić

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.4
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.4

In contrast to last season's 32.7 clip, Luka Doncic's points per game have decreased this season to 28.6. Relative to last year's 47.6% rate, Luka Doncic's scoring prowess has been reduced this year to 40.2%. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 12.2 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive production. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
26.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Kevin Durant should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Kevin Durant should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Bradley Beal has successfully made 7.0 shots made from the field per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point efficiency while playing away from home with an outstanding 41.9% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Bradley Beal has successfully made 7.0 shots made from the field per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point efficiency while playing away from home with an outstanding 41.9% rate since the start of last season. Out of all players in the league, Bradley Beal rates in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has converted 55.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. Relative to last season's 69.3% mark, Royce O'Neale's free-throw prowess has surged this season to 100.0%.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Royce O'Neale has converted 55.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. Relative to last season's 69.3% mark, Royce O'Neale's free-throw prowess has surged this season to 100.0%.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford lands in the 15th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 0.0 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 24th percentile for playing time, registering just 18.8 minutes per game at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game at home this year. The clash with Jusuf Nurkic places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs nailing just 0.1 3-pointers per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford lands in the 15th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 0.0 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford slots into the 24th percentile for playing time, registering just 18.8 minutes per game at home this year. Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game at home this year. The clash with Jusuf Nurkic places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs nailing just 0.1 3-pointers per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24
Best Odds
Under
-118

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league). Devin Booker will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

Devin Booker

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league). Devin Booker will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted with the home court advantage, logging 3.3 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team in regard to field goals. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 8th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.1%). The 6th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson rates in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted with the home court advantage, logging 3.3 per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team in regard to field goals. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 8th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (41.1%). The 6th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. Klay Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among all players in the league.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-104

The matchup vs. the Suns is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.5). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

The matchup vs. the Suns is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.5). The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Phoenix

T. Jones
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Tyus Jones lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.6 minutes per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones rates in the 10th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 0.8 fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. Tyus Jones has converted a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 80.3 rate last year.

Tyus Jones

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Out of all players in the league, Tyus Jones lands in the 85th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.6 minutes per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones rates in the 10th percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 0.8 fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. Tyus Jones has converted a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 80.3 rate last year.

Jusuf Nurkić Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkić
center C • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 43.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 3.4 free throws per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.6 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

Jusuf Nurkić

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 43.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year. The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home since the start of last season. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to raise opportunities for the Phoenix Suns. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 3.4 free throws per game while on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. Daniel Gafford is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.6 foul shots per game (87th percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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