Final Nov 12
CHA 89 9.0 o213.0
ORL 114 -9.0 u213.0
Final Nov 12
ATL 117 15.0 o222.5
BOS 116 -15.0 u222.5
Final OT Nov 12
MIA 121 -1.5 o214.5
DET 123 1.5 u214.5
Final Nov 12
NY 111 -3.5 o213.0
PHI 99 3.5 u213.0
Final Nov 12
TOR 85 9.0 o226.0
MIL 99 -9.0 u226.0
Final Nov 12
PHO 120 -5.5 o230.0
UTA 112 5.5 u230.0
Final Nov 12
MIN 108 -9.0 o222.5
POR 122 9.0 u222.5
Final Nov 12
DAL 117 2.5 o234.5
GS 120 -2.5 u234.5
Sacramento 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE6-5
San Antonio 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE5-6

Sacramento @ San Antonio props

Frost Bank Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 81st percentile for 3-point attempts, putting up 6.3 per game this year. Keegan Murray has tallied 38.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 76th percentile for free-throw effectiveness without the home court advantage with an excellent 90.0% rate this year.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 81st percentile for 3-point attempts, putting up 6.3 per game this year. Keegan Murray has tallied 38.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 76th percentile for free-throw effectiveness without the home court advantage with an excellent 90.0% rate this year.

Stephon Castle Points Scored Props • San Antonio

S. Castle
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle places in the 14th percentile for 3-point efficiency when playing at home with a poor 15.2% rate this year. The 7th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Stephon Castle has made 61.7% of his foul shot attempts while on his home court this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Stephon Castle

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Among all players in the NBA, Stephon Castle places in the 14th percentile for 3-point efficiency when playing at home with a poor 15.2% rate this year. The 7th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 9thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Stephon Castle has made 61.7% of his foul shot attempts while on his home court this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Compared to last year's 75.1% clip, Chris Paul's free-throw ability has spiked this year to 100.0%. Chris Paul will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance for all stats.

Chris Paul

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Compared to last year's 75.1% clip, Chris Paul's free-throw ability has spiked this year to 100.0%. Chris Paul will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance for all stats.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 89th percentile for shooting prowess when playing away from home with an exceptional 58.9% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 37.0 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 89th percentile for shooting prowess when playing away from home with an exceptional 58.9% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 37.0 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Victor Wembanyama Points Scored Props • San Antonio

V. Wembanyama
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama registers in the 84th percentile for shots taken while on his home court, putting up 14.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 84th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 7.1 per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Victor Wembanyama stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Victor Wembanyama

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama registers in the 84th percentile for shots taken while on his home court, putting up 14.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Victor Wembanyama ranks in the 84th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 7.1 per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Victor Wembanyama stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter places in the 88th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 6.0 per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 8th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.5%). The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Kevin Huerter has made an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 75.0 mark last season.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter places in the 88th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 6.0 per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 8th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.5%). The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Kevin Huerter has made an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 75.0 mark last season.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has been called for 0.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the league) against the Kings, resulting in a strong matchup. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Harrison Barnes will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Harrison Barnes has been called for 0.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the league) against the Kings, resulting in a strong matchup. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Harrison Barnes will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Keldon Johnson Points Scored Props • San Antonio

K. Johnson
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Keldon Johnson has made 54.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's converted over the course of the year. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Keldon Johnson has converted 89.6% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Keldon Johnson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production across the board.

Keldon Johnson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Keldon Johnson has made 54.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's converted over the course of the year. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs. Keldon Johnson has converted 89.6% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Keldon Johnson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production across the board.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 38.4 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan places in the 95th percentile for drawing fouls, registering an enormous 6.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

DeMar DeRozan has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 38.4 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings. Out of all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan places in the 95th percentile for drawing fouls, registering an enormous 6.6 free throw attempts per game this year.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 95th percentile for shots from the field, tallying 18.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.4 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 50.2% on shots from the field (best in the league) vs. the Spurs, resulting in a strong matchup. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 95th percentile for shots from the field, tallying 18.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 37.4 minutes per game this year. The Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 50.2% on shots from the field (best in the league) vs. the Spurs, resulting in a strong matchup. The 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Julian Champagnie has attempted 7.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Julian Champagnie registers in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.4 fouls per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.3). The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs.

Julian Champagnie

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Julian Champagnie has attempted 7.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Julian Champagnie registers in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, posting just 1.4 fouls per game this year. The San Antonio Spurs have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most threes per game in the league this year (2.3). The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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