LIVE End Jan 30
LAL 42 -8.5 o223.5
WAS 29 8.5 u223.5
LIVE 08:32 2nd Jan 30
ATL 34 11.5 o242.5
CLE 48 -11.5 u242.5
MIN -6.0 o224.5
UTA 6.0 u224.5
HOU 3.5 o234.5
MEM -3.5 u234.5
ORL -5.0 o212.5
POR 5.0 u212.5
Dallas 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE26-22
Atlanta 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE22-25

Dallas @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Trae Young has attempted 8.6 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Trae Young has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for threes; when the Mavericks are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). The speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Trae Young

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Trae Young has attempted 8.6 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Trae Young has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for threes; when the Mavericks are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). The speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson rates in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.3 fouls per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Klay Thompson has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Klay Thompson rates in the 21st percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.3 fouls per game this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Clint Capela has successfully made 0.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. When it comes to threes, the Hawks's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Clint Capela has successfully made 0.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. When it comes to threes, the Hawks's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year. Quentin Grimes will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production across the board.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year. Quentin Grimes will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production across the board.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.1 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. The speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 92nd percentile for free-throw efficiency playing at home with a remarkable 91.7% rate since the start of last season. Bogdan Bogdanovic figures to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 8.1 3-pointers per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. The speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic ranks in the 92nd percentile for free-throw efficiency playing at home with a remarkable 91.7% rate since the start of last season. Bogdan Bogdanovic figures to see a rise in productivity in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

When it comes to threes, the Hawks's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

When it comes to threes, the Hawks's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shots from the field (3rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, identifying this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.2 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 54.1% on shots from the field (3rd-best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, identifying this as a good matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Naji Marshall has successfully made 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Naji Marshall has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Naji Marshall has successfully made 6.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Naji Marshall has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots scored, posting an enormous 9.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 93rd percentile for 3-point shots made, putting up 2.9 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Hawks are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.1

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots scored, posting an enormous 9.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving rates in the 93rd percentile for 3-point shots made, putting up 2.9 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile. The matchup against Atlanta is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Hawks are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 9th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (13.6). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Hawks are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 9th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (13.6). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Hawks are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 70.6% of his field goal attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Daniel Gafford has made 70.6% of his field goal attempts while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

When it comes to threes, the Hawks's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks). The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

When it comes to threes, the Hawks's lackluster 12.4 drained threes per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Mavericks). The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 74.4% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The faceoff with Clint Capela comes in at only the 96th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs converting a whopping 1.5 treys per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup with Clint Capela in terms of getting to the foul line measures in only the 86th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.4 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.

Dereck Lively

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Dereck Lively II has sunk 74.4% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The faceoff with Clint Capela comes in at only the 96th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs converting a whopping 1.5 treys per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup with Clint Capela in terms of getting to the foul line measures in only the 86th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.4 free throws per game this year when they are away from home.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-115

Dyson Daniels has played 32.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Dyson Daniels has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 33.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Dyson Daniels has played 32.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Dyson Daniels has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 33.1% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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