New York @ Dallas picks

Dereck Lively II has converted 66.1% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 96th percentile with a whopping 3.3 treys attempted against him per game this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

Out of all players in the league, Miles McBride rates in the 78th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 2.1 per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Miles McBride has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Compared to last year's 35.6% rate, Spencer Dinwiddie's scoring efficiency has diminished this year to 29.8%. With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges places in the 86th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, registering 6.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges places in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.3 fouls per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup.

Jalen Brunson has put up 24.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile. Jalen Brunson has made 2.6 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Knicks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. OG Anunoby will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production across the board.