Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
New York 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

New York @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has converted 66.1% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 96th percentile with a whopping 3.3 treys attempted against him per game this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Dereck Lively II has converted 66.1% of his field goal attempts while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 96th percentile with a whopping 3.3 treys attempted against him per game this year. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Dereck Lively II ought to see a rise in output in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Miles McBride Points Scored Props • New York

M. McBride
point guard PG • New York
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Miles McBride rates in the 78th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 2.1 per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Miles McBride has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Miles McBride

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Out of all players in the league, Miles McBride rates in the 78th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 2.1 per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Miles McBride has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 26.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 35.6% rate, Spencer Dinwiddie's scoring efficiency has diminished this year to 29.8%. With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Compared to last year's 35.6% rate, Spencer Dinwiddie's scoring efficiency has diminished this year to 29.8%. With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

Mikal Bridges Points Scored Props • New York

M. Bridges
small forward SF • New York
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-108

Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges places in the 86th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, registering 6.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges places in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.3 fouls per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup.

Mikal Bridges

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges places in the 86th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, registering 6.7 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 37.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges places in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.3 fouls per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 2.8 threes per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup.

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-108

Jalen Brunson has put up 24.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile. Jalen Brunson has made 2.6 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Jalen Brunson has put up 24.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile. Jalen Brunson has made 2.6 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.8 minutes per game this year. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

OG Anunoby Points Scored Props • New York

O. Anunoby
small forward SF • New York
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Under
-118

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Knicks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. OG Anunoby will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production across the board.

OG Anunoby

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Knicks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls. OG Anunoby will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production across the board.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-117

With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

With respect to threes, the Dallas Mavericks's unimpressive 34.8% rate of made threes playing at home places 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. The Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). Over the last 10 games when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Knicks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The matchup against the New York Knicks is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.7%). The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Quentin Grimes has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this season. Quentin Grimes will likely see a rise in production for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

The matchup against the New York Knicks is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.7%). The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Quentin Grimes has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this season. Quentin Grimes will likely see a rise in production for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 93rd percentile for shots from the field hit while on his home court, posting a colossal 8.0 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 8.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Kyrie Irving has tallied 33.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.8
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 93rd percentile for shots from the field hit while on his home court, posting a colossal 8.0 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 8.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Kyrie Irving has tallied 33.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-109

The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (0.8). The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Knicks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Josh Hart stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

Josh Hart

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (0.8). The 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Knicks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Josh Hart stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.7%). The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). P.J. Washington has successfully made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's made overall this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (47.7%). The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). P.J. Washington has successfully made 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's made overall this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • New York

K. Towns
center C • New York
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 97th percentile, registering a whopping 26.3 points per game this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 94th percentile for foul shots hit, totaling a colossal 4.7 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns comes in at the 97th percentile, registering a whopping 26.3 points per game this year. Karl-Anthony Towns has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile. The Knicks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road. The New York Knicks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 94th percentile for foul shots hit, totaling a colossal 4.7 per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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