Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33

Sacramento @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+112

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Huerter rates in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 5.9 per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Huerter rates in the 81st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, putting up 5.9 per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-114

Keon Ellis has made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Keon Ellis has made 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has sunk 64.0% of his field goal attempts on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert is expected to see a rise in efficiency for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Rudy Gobert has sunk 64.0% of his field goal attempts on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert is expected to see a rise in efficiency for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-109

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league). De'Aaron Fox should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league). De'Aaron Fox should suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-134

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 90th percentile for shots from the field scored, averaging an enormous 7.6 per game this year. Domantas Sabonis has played 36.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage. Domantas Sabonis has made 3.6 foul shots per game on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 90th percentile for shots from the field scored, averaging an enormous 7.6 per game this year. Domantas Sabonis has played 36.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage. Domantas Sabonis has made 3.6 foul shots per game on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-102

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 80th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, compiling 5.8 per game this year. Keegan Murray has played 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage. Keegan Murray has successfully made 90.0% of his free throws while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 80th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, compiling 5.8 per game this year. Keegan Murray has played 36.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 98th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage. Keegan Murray has successfully made 90.0% of his free throws while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Mike Conley will likely see a rise in efficiency across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Mike Conley will likely see a rise in efficiency across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.5
Best Odds
Over
-106

Julius Randle has put up 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's put up overall this year. Julius Randle has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Julius Randle has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) against the Kings, creating a good matchup.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.5

Julius Randle has put up 25.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's put up overall this year. Julius Randle has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Julius Randle has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the league) against the Kings, creating a good matchup.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Relative to last season's 6.8 rate, Anthony Edwards's shot attempts from downtown have increased this season to 11.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 36.5 minutes per game on his home court this year. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

Relative to last season's 6.8 rate, Anthony Edwards's shot attempts from downtown have increased this season to 11.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 36.5 minutes per game on his home court this year. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (18.1). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-125

Naz Reid has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while playing at home. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has successfully made 97.1% of his foul shots on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Naz Reid ought to get a boost in effectiveness across the board considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Naz Reid has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while playing at home. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 8 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has successfully made 97.1% of his foul shots on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Naz Reid ought to get a boost in effectiveness across the board considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-102

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 12.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 6.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a positive matchup.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 12.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 6.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jaden McDaniels has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. In regard to treys, the Timberwolves's exceptional 16.3 successful threes per game when playing at home ranks 3rd-highest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.3 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a positive matchup.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage.

Malik Monk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 48.3% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-most in the league this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 8 games without the home court advantage.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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