Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Utah 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-65

Denver @ Utah picks

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DEN vs UTA Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
B. Sensabaugh u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.5 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -110 fanduel
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
12.5 -110
12.5 -120
12.5 -106
12.5 -128
13.5 -110
13.5 -110

In regard to scoring, the Jazz's lackluster 107.1 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

Points Scored
J. Collins u20.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u20.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
20.5 -110
20.5 -120
18.5 -129
18.5 -105
20.5 -109
20.5 -125
19.5 -110
19.5 -120
19.5 +104
19.5 -128

John Collins has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. In regard to scoring, the Jazz's lackluster 107.1 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Points Scored
S. Mykhailiuk o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 -114
8.5 -120

Among all players in the NBA, Svi Mykhailiuk registers in the 95th percentile for 3-point ability with an exceptional 41.7% rate since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Svi Mykhailiuk comes in at the 3rd percentile for personal fouls, posting just 0.5 fouls per game since the start of last season. The 9th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
C. Sexton o4.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +110 betmgm
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 +110
4.5 -150
4.5 +102
4.5 -136
4.5 -114
4.5 -120
4.5 +105
4.5 -135
4.5 +100
4.5 -122

Collin Sexton has totaled 3.1 assists per game this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric recently. The 9th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Collin Sexton figures to get a boost in output across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
J. Murray o19.5 Points Scored
Projection 21.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o19.5 -103 caesars
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 -120
19.5 -110
20.5 -112
20.5 -120
19.5 -103
19.5 -133
20.5 -105
20.5 -125
19.5 -110
19.5 -110

Jamal Murray has attempted 5.7 threes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has averaged 35.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Points Scored
P. Watson o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -122 fanduel
Projection updated: 148 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -105
10.5 -130
9.5 -134
9.5 +100
10.5 -106
10.5 -128
9.5 -130
9.5 +100
9.5 -122
9.5 +100

Peyton Watson has converted 48.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 12.8% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Peyton Watson has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for overall this season. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have registered 24.0 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).

Points Scored
K. George u19.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.5 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -124 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 147 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 +100
19.5 -135
19.5 -107
19.5 -124
19.5 +108
19.5 -147
18.5 -115
18.5 -115
18.5 -104
18.5 -118

In regard to scoring, the Jazz's lackluster 107.1 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.

DEN vs UTA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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60% picking Denver

60%
40%

Total Picks DEN 389, UTA 255

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