Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Utah 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-65

Dallas @ Utah picks

Delta Center

DAL vs UTA Picks

NBA Picks
Total Rebounds
D. Gafford u6.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 +110 fanduel
Projection updated: 144 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -135
6.5 +100
6.5 -137
6.5 +100
6.5 -135
6.5 +105
6.5 -134
6.5 +110

Among all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while on the road this year. Daniel Gafford will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

Points Scored
P. Washington o14.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -106 fanduel
Projection updated: 145 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 -110
15.5 -120
14.5 -108
14.5 -124
15.5 -109
15.5 -125
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
14.5 -106
14.5 -114

In comparison to last year's 3.9 mark, P.J. Washington's off the mark 3-pointers have fallen this year to 2.4 per game. P.J. Washington has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The matchup against Utah is a strong one; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Points Scored
N. Marshall u15.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u15.5 +108 caesars
Projection updated: 144 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 -125
15.5 -105
15.5 -118
15.5 -113
15.5 -147
15.5 +108
15.5 -120
15.5 -110
15.5 -115
15.5 -105

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league). Naji Marshall will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
K. Irving u6.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 +108 caesars
Projection updated: 144 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -129
6.5 -105
6.5 -147
6.5 +108
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
6.5 -128
6.5 +104

Kyrie Irving stands to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

Total Rebounds
B. Sensabaugh o2.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -106 caesars
Projection updated: 145 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -110
2.5 -120
2.5 -106
2.5 -128

Out of all players in the NBA, Brice Sensabaugh slots into the 11th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 0.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Brice Sensabaugh stands to see an increase in productivity for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
N. Marshall u1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 1 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -134 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 144 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +105
1.5 -135
1.5 +105
1.5 -145
1.5 +102
1.5 -134
1.5 +104
1.5 -143
1.5 +105
1.5 -135
1.5 +106
1.5 -136

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Naji Marshall will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
D. Lively u2.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u2.5 -145 bet365
Projection updated: 145 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 +115
2.5 -145
2.5 +115
2.5 -155
2.5 +112
2.5 -154
2.5 +126
2.5 -162

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.1 fouls per game this year. Dereck Lively II should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
P. Washington o1.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -114 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 145 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -140
1.5 +110
1.5 -150
1.5 +110
1.5 -114
1.5 -117
1.5 -143
1.5 +104
1.5 -125
1.5 -105
1.5 -122
1.5 -104

In comparison to last year's 3.9 mark, P.J. Washington's off the mark 3-pointers have fallen this year to 2.4 per game. P.J. Washington has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

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