Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Utah 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-65

Dallas @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

In comparison to last year's 3.9 mark, P.J. Washington's off the mark 3-pointers have fallen this year to 2.4 per game. P.J. Washington has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The matchup against Utah is a strong one; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

In comparison to last year's 3.9 mark, P.J. Washington's off the mark 3-pointers have fallen this year to 2.4 per game. P.J. Washington has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 81st percentile. The matchup against Utah is a strong one; when the Utah Jazz are on their home court, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (24.0). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
+108

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league). Naji Marshall will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league). Naji Marshall will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Under
-120

John Collins has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 106.7 points per game playing at home rates 2nd-worst in the league this year.

John Collins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

John Collins has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 106.7 points per game playing at home rates 2nd-worst in the league this year.

Brice Sensabaugh Points Scored Props • Utah

B. Sensabaugh
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Brice Sensabaugh slots into the 11th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 0.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Brice Sensabaugh

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Brice Sensabaugh slots into the 11th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 0.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for shooting proficiency with a phenomenal 69.8% rate this year. The number of points totaled against Walker Kessler has been quite high (19.5 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz). The Mavericks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for shooting proficiency with a phenomenal 69.8% rate this year. The number of points totaled against Walker Kessler has been quite high (19.5 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz). The Mavericks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots sunk, compiling a colossal 9.2 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Kyrie Irving has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.7
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.7

Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving slots into the 97th percentile for shots sunk, compiling a colossal 9.2 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has attempted 9.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Kyrie Irving has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 93rd percentile. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Keyonte George has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this year. Keyonte George has sunk 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Keyonte George places in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4). The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

Keyonte George

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Keyonte George has sunk 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this year. Keyonte George has sunk 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Keyonte George places in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4). The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-108

Walker Kessler has converted 71.9% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. While on the visiting team and guarding fellow starting Cs, Dereck Lively II has been in the 100th percentile with a massive 13.5 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Walker Kessler has converted 71.9% of his shot attempts from the field while playing at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. While on the visiting team and guarding fellow starting Cs, Dereck Lively II has been in the 100th percentile with a massive 13.5 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The 10th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost opportunities for the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-125

Quentin Grimes has successfully made 52.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Quentin Grimes has converted 43.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 13.1% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Quentin Grimes has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 7.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Jazz, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Quentin Grimes has successfully made 52.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Quentin Grimes has converted 43.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 13.1% more than he's made from downtown overall this year. Quentin Grimes has played 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 7.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Jazz, labeling this as a strong matchup. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-114

With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 106.7 points per game playing at home rates 2nd-worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

Collin Sexton

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 106.7 points per game playing at home rates 2nd-worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Lauri Markkanen has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year. With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 106.7 points per game playing at home rates 2nd-worst in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Lauri Markkanen has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year. With respect to scoring, the Jazz's poor 106.7 points per game playing at home rates 2nd-worst in the league this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 73.2% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz). The Mavericks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Daniel Gafford has made 73.2% of his shots from the field this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz). The Mavericks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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