Miami @ Toronto picks

The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a hard one for three-point attempts; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.6 3-pointers per game (14th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 8th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out best in in the NBA with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Ja'Kobe Walter will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 52.0% of his field goals when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Raptors, making this a strong matchup. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors). Haywood Highsmith has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has notched 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's notched overall this year. Jimmy Butler has converted 62.5% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 32.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors). Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Terry Rozier has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile. In regard to shooting, the Heat's excellent 112.7 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games. The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Raptors).