MIL 8.0 o222.5
IND -8.0 u222.5
DET 5.5 o214.5
NY -5.5 u214.5
ORL 11.0 o198.5
BOS -11.0 u198.5
LAC -1.5 o208.5
DEN 1.5 u208.5
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Minnesota @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga has made a mere 53.4% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly less than his 73.0 rate last season. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 20.3 foul shots per game while at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors. Jonathan Kuminga has made a mere 53.4% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly less than his 73.0 rate last season. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 20.3 foul shots per game while at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Draymond Green has successfully made 41.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (6th-most in the league). Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production for all stats.

Draymond Green

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Draymond Green has successfully made 41.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting squad (6th-most in the league). Draymond Green will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production for all stats.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 54.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.1% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Mike Conley has successfully made 54.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.1% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

Brandin Podziemski has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has made 88.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Brandin Podziemski has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a good matchup. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). Brandin Podziemski has made 88.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 10.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.5% of his field goals away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Rudy Gobert has converted 65.5% of his field goals away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-128

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid registers in the 77th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness when playing away from home with a phenomenal 87.5% rate this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Out of all players in the league, Naz Reid registers in the 77th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness when playing away from home with a phenomenal 87.5% rate this year.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

While on the visiting team and matched up against other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert rates in the 79th percentile with a massive 3.0 treys attempted against him per game this year. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The showdown with Rudy Gobert when it comes to getting to the foul line measures in just the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court. Kevon Looney will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

While on the visiting team and matched up against other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert rates in the 79th percentile with a massive 3.0 treys attempted against him per game this year. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The showdown with Rudy Gobert when it comes to getting to the foul line measures in just the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.0 foul shots per game this year when they are on their home court. Kevon Looney will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Over
-106

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle registers in the 90th percentile, totaling a whopping 21.0 points per game this year. Julius Randle has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle registers in the 90th percentile, totaling a whopping 21.0 points per game this year. Julius Randle has averaged 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 87th percentile. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 field goal attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 20.3 foul shots per game while at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Warriors. As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Warriors's unimpressive 20.3 foul shots per game while at home settles in as the 6th-worst in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Over
-133

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 93rd percentile, compiling a massive 22.6 points per game this year. Stephen Curry has attempted 11.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 1.2 fouls per game this year. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 93rd percentile, compiling a massive 22.6 points per game this year. Stephen Curry has attempted 11.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling just 1.2 fouls per game this year. The 5th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Anthony Edwards has attempted 10.6 3-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.8 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 36.3 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Anthony Edwards has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Anthony Edwards has attempted 10.6 3-pointers per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.8 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 36.3 minutes per game this year. The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Anthony Edwards has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 8.3% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-109

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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