Houston @ Toronto picks

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court. The Raptors will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets). The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Chris Boucher has converted 83.6% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.4% higher than he's made overall this year. Chris Boucher ought to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Ochai Agbaji has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 79th percentile. The Raptors have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court. The Raptors will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 6th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Houston Rockets). The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Fred VanVleet has attempted 10.4 treys per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet places in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 35.4 minutes per game this year. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Toronto Raptors). The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Ja'Kobe Walter has successfully made 30.5% of his shots from the field at home this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league. Ja'Kobe Walter has sunk 15.8% of his three-point shots while playing at home this year, placing him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6). The matchup vs. Houston may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 48.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 14.1% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jabari Smith Jr. has played 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's played overall this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Raptors, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Rockets. The Rockets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Toronto Raptors).