NY -7.0 o213.0
ORL 7.0 u213.0
SA -7.0 o213.0
BK 7.0 u213.0
IND 12.0 o230.5
BOS -12.0 u230.5
MIN 1.0 o213.5
HOU -1.0 u213.5
MEM -9.0 o236.0
NO 9.0 u236.0
CLE -3.0 o237.5
DEN 3.0 u237.5
DAL 1.0 o225.0
PHO -1.0 u225.0
GS 4.5 o212.5
LAC -4.5 u212.5
Miami 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE15-13
Orlando 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE19-13

Miami @ Orlando props

Kia Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 22.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic). The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 22.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the season. The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic). The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 91st percentile for 3-point shots drained, putting up 2.6 per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 14.8 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, designating this as a good matchup. Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) against the Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 91st percentile for 3-point shots drained, putting up 2.6 per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 14.8 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, designating this as a good matchup. Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) against the Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Wendell Carter Jr. Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter Jr.
center C • Orlando
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 83.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while at home. Wendell Carter Jr. ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Wendell Carter Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Wendell Carter Jr. has converted 83.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season while at home. Wendell Carter Jr. ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one for scoring; when the Magic are at home, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (49.9%). Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's made overall this season away from his home court. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the Orlando Magic, easily managing to draw fouls.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.3

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one for scoring; when the Magic are at home, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (49.9%). Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.8% more than he's made overall this season away from his home court. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the Orlando Magic, easily managing to draw fouls.

Goga Bitadze Points Scored Props • Orlando

G. Bitadze
center C • Orlando
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In comparison to last year's 14.3% clip, Goga Bitadze's 3-point prowess has been reduced this year to 0.0%. When it comes to shooting, the Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Goga Bitadze

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

In comparison to last year's 14.3% clip, Goga Bitadze's 3-point prowess has been reduced this year to 0.0%. When it comes to shooting, the Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. When it comes to shooting, the Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The matchup against Miami may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting team (4th-least in the league).

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. When it comes to shooting, the Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The matchup against Miami may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting team (4th-least in the league).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Terry Rozier has made 96.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Terry Rozier has made 96.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Orlando

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Out of all players in the league, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8). The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production in all stat categories.

Tristan da Silva Points Scored Props • Orlando

T. da Silva
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

When it comes to shooting, the Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Tristan da Silva

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

When it comes to shooting, the Magic's feeble 104.9 points per game measures as the 3rd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Orlando Magic have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The matchup vs. the Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Over
-114

Tyler Herro has scored 23.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.5 threes per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 6th-highest three percentage in the league this year (42.3%).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Tyler Herro has scored 23.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile. Tyler Herro has attempted 11.5 threes per game over the last 10 games away from home, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have put up the 6th-highest three percentage in the league this year (42.3%).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has made 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Bam Adebayo has attempted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Goga Bitadze has been quite high this year (4.6 foul shots per game when they are on the visiting team: 96th percentile).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Bam Adebayo has made 56.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's converted in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Bam Adebayo has attempted 6.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Goga Bitadze has been quite high this year (4.6 foul shots per game when they are on the visiting team: 96th percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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