Miami @ LA picks

Kel'el Ware has sunk 64.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). Kel'el Ware has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance across the board.

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production across the board.

The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The LA Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has tallied a mere 0.9 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.7 fouls per game last season. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when Zubac is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.1 foul shots per game (77th percentile).