Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
LA 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-32

Miami @ LA props

Intuit Dome

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has sunk 64.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). Kel'el Ware has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Kel'el Ware has sunk 64.3% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). Kel'el Ware has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance across the board.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Nikola Jovic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance across the board.

Jaime Jaquez Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production across the board.

Jaime Jaquez

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 0.5 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Clippers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production across the board.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has tallied a mere 0.9 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.7 fouls per game last season. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when Zubac is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.1 foul shots per game (77th percentile).

Kevin Love

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Kevin Love has tallied a mere 0.9 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 1.7 fouls per game last season. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). The matchup vs. Ivica Zubac is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when Zubac is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.1 foul shots per game (77th percentile).

Kevin Porter Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Porter
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kevin Porter Jr. has converted 49.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Kevin Porter Jr. has been on the court for 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Kevin Porter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production in all facets of the game.

Kevin Porter

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Kevin Porter Jr. has converted 49.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Kevin Porter Jr. has been on the court for 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Kevin Porter Jr. will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production in all facets of the game.

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Under
-120

The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The LA Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The LA Clippers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.1%). The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are playing at home (8th-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro stands to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (42.1%). The 4th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 free throws per game this year when the Clippers are playing at home (8th-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro stands to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Kawhi Leonard has notched 21.3 points per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Kawhi Leonard has notched 21.3 points per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the league's best in this category. Kawhi Leonard has tallied 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Dunn
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kris Dunn registers in the 77th percentile for three-point effectiveness on his home court with a superb 40.0% rate this year. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Kris Dunn will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase stat production across the board.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Kris Dunn registers in the 77th percentile for three-point effectiveness on his home court with a superb 40.0% rate this year. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Kris Dunn will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase stat production across the board.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-102

Terry Rozier has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Terry Rozier has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 75th percentile. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). Terry Rozier has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the league, Ivica Zubac ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Ivica Zubac is expected to get a boost in output in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Out of all players in the league, Ivica Zubac ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.1 minutes per game this year. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Ivica Zubac is expected to get a boost in output in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing on the road. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing on the road. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers). The matchup against the Clippers is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-108

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.6 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Bam Adebayo has attempted 13.6 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's remarkable 36.9% rate of drained threes comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been very high (2.4 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile). The Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Clippers).

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Among all players in the league, Norman Powell registers in the 98th percentile for 3-pointers converted, putting up 3.6 per game this year. Norman Powell has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Norman Powell

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Among all players in the league, Norman Powell registers in the 98th percentile for 3-pointers converted, putting up 3.6 per game this year. Norman Powell has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In terms of three-pointers, the LA Clippers's terrific 39.9% rate of sunk threes while at home settles in as the 2nd-highest in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Nicolas Batum Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Batum
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.18
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-114
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.18
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-114

Nicolas Batum has gone over 2.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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