Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Memphis 8th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-34
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48

Memphis @ San Antonio picks

Frost Bank Center

MEM vs SA Picks

NBA Picks
Total Rebounds
S. Aldama o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -102 fanduel
Projection updated: 99 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 +145
5.5 -190
5.5 +133
5.5 -185
4.5 -115
4.5 -115
4.5 -102
4.5 -120

Santi Aldama has put up 5.5 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
Z. Edey o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -140 betmgm
Projection updated: 99 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -140
7.5 +105
8.5 +106
8.5 -141
8.5 -109
8.5 -125
8.5 -115
8.5 -115
8.5 +102
8.5 -124

Among all players in the NBA, Zach Edey measures in the 94th percentile for field goal performance with an outstanding 59.8% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Zach Edey comes in at the 94th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a stellar 44.0% rate this year. When matched up against other starting Cs, Victor Wembanyama rates in the 100th percentile with a whopping 13.5 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

Points Scored
C. Paul o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 98 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -115
9.5 -120
9.5 -134
9.5 +102
9.5 -118
9.5 -118
9.5 -130
9.5 +100
9.5 -128
9.5 +104

Chris Paul has attempted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the quickest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA on their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Among all players in the league, Chris Paul lands in the 96th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with an exceptional 97.9% rate this year.

Total Assists
K. Johnson o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 99 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +125
1.5 -155
1.5 +120
1.5 -160
1.5 +120
1.5 -167

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home. The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the quickest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 4th-best in in the NBA on their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Keldon Johnson stands to see a rise in productivity for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Points Scored
J. Wells o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 12.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -120 caesars
Projection updated: 98 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -125
10.5 -105
10.5 -124
10.5 -107
10.5 -120
10.5 -114
11.5 +100
11.5 -130
10.5 -122
10.5 +100

Jaylen Wells has logged 15.2 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.5 higher than he's logged in all games this year on the road. Jaylen Wells has made 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while playing on the road. Jaylen Wells has tallied 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage, which ought to raise plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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