Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Oklahoma City @ Dallas picks

American Airlines Center

OKC vs DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
L. Dort u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -125
13.5 -105
11.5 -114
11.5 -117
11.5 -125
11.5 -109
10.5 -130
10.5 +100
12.5 +104
12.5 -128

Luguentz Dort has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort stands to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Points Scored
S. Dinwiddie u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -130
13.5 -105
13.5 -118
13.5 -118
11.5 -105
11.5 -125
13.5 +104
13.5 -128

Spencer Dinwiddie has made 38.4% of his shot attempts from the field while at home this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA. With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a challenging matchup. The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

Points Scored
C. Wallace u11.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u11.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -110
11.5 -120
9.5 -127
9.5 -105
11.5 +120
11.5 -167
10.5 -115
10.5 -115
10.5 +102
10.5 -124

Cason Wallace has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has attempted 0.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league). Cason Wallace will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
S. Dinwiddie u5.5 Total Assists
Projection 4.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 +105 bet365
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -135
5.5 +105
5.5 -145
5.5 +105
5.5 -120
5.5 -114
5.5 +134
5.5 -164

Spencer Dinwiddie has gone under 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Total Rebounds
S. Dinwiddie u4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 3 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -105
4.5 -125
4.5 +100
4.5 -137
3.5 +105
3.5 -135
3.5 +110
3.5 -134

Spencer Dinwiddie has gone under 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Points Scored
A. Wiggins o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 16.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
13.5 -114
13.5 -120
14.5 -120
14.5 -110
13.5 -112
13.5 -108

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 71.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing away from home. Aaron Wiggins has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Total Assists
J. Williams u3.5 Total Assists
Projection 3 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -155
3.5 +125
3.5 -160
3.5 +120
3.5 -143
3.5 +104
3.5 -110
3.5 -120

Jaylin Williams has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Jaylin Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production across the board.

Total Assists
C. Wallace u3.5 Total Assists
Projection 3 (Under)
Best Odds
u3.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -155
3.5 +125
3.5 -160
3.5 +120
3.5 -133
3.5 -103
3.5 -160
3.5 +124
3.5 -110
3.5 -110

Cason Wallace has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

Points Scored
N. Marshall o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -112 fanduel
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -120
9.5 -115
12.5 -104
12.5 -129
9.5 -125
9.5 -109
11.5 +100
11.5 -130
9.5 -112
9.5 -108

The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Naji Marshall has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Naji Marshall will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production across the board.

Points Scored
I. Joe u13.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -110 betmgm
Projection updated: 96 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -120
13.5 -110
13.5 -120
13.5 -114
12.5 +100
12.5 -130
12.5 -102
12.5 -120

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

OKC vs DAL Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Total

64% picking Oklahoma City vs Dallas to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksOKC 267, DAL 152

Total
Over
Under

OKC vs DAL Top User Picks

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