Oklahoma City @ Dallas picks
American Airlines Center
OKC vs DAL Picks
NBA PicksLuguentz Dort has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 0.8 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a tough matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort stands to experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.
Spencer Dinwiddie has made 38.4% of his shot attempts from the field while at home this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA. With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a challenging matchup. The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
Cason Wallace has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace has attempted 0.5 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league). Cason Wallace will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.
Spencer Dinwiddie has gone under 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Spencer Dinwiddie has gone under 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 71.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing away from home. Aaron Wiggins has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
Jaylin Williams has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Jaylin Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production across the board.
Cason Wallace has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Cason Wallace will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Naji Marshall has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season. Naji Marshall will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production across the board.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.
OKC vs DAL Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks64% picking Oklahoma City vs Dallas to go Over
Total PicksOKC 267, DAL 152