LIVE 03:51 4th Apr 27
IND 122 4.0 o226.5
MIL 100 -4.0 u226.5
Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Denver 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Philadelphia 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE24-58

Denver @ Philadelphia props

Wells Fargo Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Russell Westbrook has made 57.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.7%). The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Russell Westbrook has made 57.3% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing on the road. The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 9th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (37.7%). The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Ricky Council Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

R. Council
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Ricky Council IV has made 53.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season with the home court advantage. Relative to last season's 9.0 mark, Ricky Council IV's playing time has surged this season to 14.9 minutes per game. Ricky Council IV has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Compared to last year's 69.3% clip, Ricky Council IV's free-throw prowess has surged this year to 86.2%.

Ricky Council

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Ricky Council IV has made 53.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season with the home court advantage. Relative to last season's 9.0 mark, Ricky Council IV's playing time has surged this season to 14.9 minutes per game. Ricky Council IV has been called for 0.9 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Compared to last year's 69.3% clip, Ricky Council IV's free-throw prowess has surged this year to 86.2%.

Tyrese Maxey Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

T. Maxey
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds
Under
-118

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Tyrese Maxey

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.6
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.6

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray lands in the 84th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 5.7 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. Over the last 24 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 18.4 points per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Jamal Murray has attempted 20.2 shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray lands in the 84th percentile for three-point attempts, compiling 5.7 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. Over the last 24 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 18.4 points per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Aaron Gordon has made 61.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.9% more than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Aaron Gordon has converted a whopping 37.1% of his 3-point shots this year, a sizeable increase from his 26.9 mark last year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 45.6% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, designating this as a good matchup. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Aaron Gordon has made 61.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 7.9% more than he's made in all games this year when playing on the road. Aaron Gordon has converted a whopping 37.1% of his 3-point shots this year, a sizeable increase from his 26.9 mark last year. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 45.6% on threes (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, designating this as a good matchup. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has converted 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net overall this season. Christian Braun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Christian Braun has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 13.4% more than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court.

Christian Braun

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Christian Braun has converted 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net overall this season. Christian Braun has averaged 32.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Christian Braun has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 13.4% more than he's sunk overall this year away from his home court.

Guerschon Yabusele Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

G. Yabusele
power forward PF • Philadelphia
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-150

Out of all players in the league, Guerschon Yabusele lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year. The number of 3-pointers drained against Nikola Jokic has been quite low (0.4 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Jokic is on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game (24th percentile).

Guerschon Yabusele

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Out of all players in the league, Guerschon Yabusele lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year. The number of 3-pointers drained against Nikola Jokic has been quite low (0.4 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile). The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the 76ers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when Jokic is on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game (24th percentile).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The number of shots from the field against Guerschon Yabusele has been quite low (8.0 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers). The showdown with Guerschon Yabusele in terms of getting to the foul line lands in the 24th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year when they are on the road. Nikola Jokic ought to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The number of shots from the field against Guerschon Yabusele has been quite low (8.0 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers). The showdown with Guerschon Yabusele in terms of getting to the foul line lands in the 24th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year when they are on the road. Nikola Jokic ought to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-145

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 88th percentile for 3-point shots hit while playing away from home, tallying 2.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.1 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 86.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 22.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 88th percentile for 3-point shots hit while playing away from home, tallying 2.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.1 minutes per game this year. The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 86.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 22.1% more than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Eric Gordon has converted 58.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's converted overall this season. Eric Gordon has made 58.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 22.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Eric Gordon has averaged 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Eric Gordon measures in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 0.8 fouls per game this year. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Eric Gordon

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Eric Gordon has converted 58.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 20.5% more than he's converted overall this season. Eric Gordon has made 58.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 22.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Eric Gordon has averaged 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Eric Gordon measures in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 0.8 fouls per game this year. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets).

Kelly Oubre Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Oubre
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-105

Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Kelly Oubre Jr. has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Kelly Oubre Jr. has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home. As a team, the 76ers have been terrific at drawing fouls in recent games: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing 22.9 free throw attempts per game.

Kelly Oubre

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Kelly Oubre Jr. has converted 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season. Kelly Oubre Jr. has played 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games (the Nuggets). Kelly Oubre Jr. has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made overall this season while playing at home. As a team, the 76ers have been terrific at drawing fouls in recent games: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games, drawing 22.9 free throw attempts per game.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Philadelphia
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-145
Under
+110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.94
Best Odds
Over
-145
Under
+110

Kyle Lowry has gone over 4.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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