LIVE Halftime Mar 12
CHA 49 7.5 o242.5
ATL 52 -7.5 u242.5
LIVE Halftime Mar 12
PHI 55 2.5 o223.0
TOR 69 -2.5 u223.0
LIVE Halftime Mar 12
OKC 63 3.0 o229.0
BOS 60 -3.0 u229.0
LIVE 09:31 2nd Mar 12
PHO 30 4.5 o227.0
HOU 35 -4.5 u227.0
LIVE End Mar 12
LAC 30 2.0 o206.5
MIA 20 -2.0 u206.5
LIVE 08:42 2nd Mar 12
UTA 29 10.5 o248.0
MEM 43 -10.5 u248.0
LIVE 08:30 2nd Mar 12
DAL 40 6.0 o237.5
SA 31 -6.0 u237.5
NY -3.5 o227.5
POR 3.5 u227.5
MIN 2.5 o233.0
DEN -2.5 u233.0
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE33-31
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE37-29

Sacramento @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 7.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 7.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.2
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Minnesota Timberwolves's poor 20.9 free throws per game playing at home comes in as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.2
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.2

Anthony Edwards has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Minnesota Timberwolves's poor 20.9 free throws per game playing at home comes in as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 32.2% rate of converted threes while playing away from home places 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league). DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 32.2% rate of converted threes while playing away from home places 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (40.6%). The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league). DeMar DeRozan stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 52.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Mike Conley has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Mike Conley has made 52.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Mike Conley has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 5.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted in all games this season. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile. In comparison to last season's 3.2 clip, Rudy Gobert's personal fouls per game have been reduced this season to 2.4. The number of points registered against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (15.3 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (79th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 5.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted in all games this season. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile. In comparison to last season's 3.2 clip, Rudy Gobert's personal fouls per game have been reduced this season to 2.4. The number of points registered against Domantas Sabonis has been quite high (15.3 per game) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (79th percentile). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has made 49.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 84th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Keegan Murray has made 49.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray comes in at the 84th percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has made 2.3 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Keon Ellis has made 2.3 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Keon Ellis has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. When it comes to 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 32.2% rate of converted threes while playing away from home places 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (worst in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Malik Monk

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Malik Monk has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. When it comes to 3-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 32.2% rate of converted threes while playing away from home places 3rd-worst in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (worst in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a tough matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 59.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. Jaden McDaniels has made 57.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year with the home court advantage. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 36.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 59.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on his home court. Jaden McDaniels has made 57.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year with the home court advantage. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 36.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.3 3-pointers per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a favorable matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 96th percentile for shooting proficiency away from his home court with a phenomenal 64.0% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has sunk 61.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 96th percentile for shooting proficiency away from his home court with a phenomenal 64.0% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has sunk 61.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Domantas Sabonis has been on the court for 36.2 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has sunk 60.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 20.8% more than he's made from three overall this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.6%). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Naz Reid has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Naz Reid

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Naz Reid has sunk 60.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 20.8% more than he's made from three overall this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 6th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.6%). The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings). The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Naz Reid has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.4% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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