Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
LA 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-32

Los Angeles @ LA picks

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LAL vs LAC Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
D. Finney-Smith o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 78 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -120
7.5 -110
7.5 -130
7.5 -103
7.5 -120
7.5 -114
8.5 -110
8.5 -120
8.5 +110
8.5 -134

Dorian Finney-Smith has made 42.0% of his three-point shots when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. The Lakers rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Points Scored
D. Jones o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -105 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 78 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -110
9.5 -125
9.5 -105
9.5 -127
9.5 -120
9.5 -114
10.5 +100
10.5 -130
9.5 -115
9.5 -105

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 61.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Derrick Jones Jr. has made 47.4% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's converted from three over the course of the year while at home. Derrick Jones Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The LA Clippers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Total Assists
D. Finney-Smith o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +195 bet365
Projection updated: 78 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 +195
1.5 -245
1.5 +145
1.5 -200
1.5 +152
1.5 -213
1.5 +124
1.5 -160

Dorian Finney-Smith has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Total Assists
N. Powell o1.5 Total Assists
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 78 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -115
1.5 -115
1.5 -120
1.5 -110
1.5 -185
1.5 +133
1.5 -175
1.5 +135

Norman Powell has totaled a terrific 2.2 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.0 assists per game last year. Out of all players in the league, Norman Powell measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.7 minutes per game at home this year. The LA Clippers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Norman Powell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player production for all stats.

Total Assists
J. Harden u9.5 Total Assists
Projection 8.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u9.5 +110 betmgm
Projection updated: 79 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -130
9.5 +100
9.5 -145
9.5 +110
9.5 -117
9.5 -114
9.5 -137
9.5 +100
9.5 -130
9.5 +100
9.5 -130
9.5 +106

The Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Lakers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the LA Clippers.

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