Orlando @ Denver picks

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Magic).

Christian Braun has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile). The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Magic).

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Magic).

Aaron Gordon has sunk 39.8% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Aaron Gordon figures to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 50.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 3.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. ought to get a boost in efficiency across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup. The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the league this year has been the Magic. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).