Final Mar 11
WAS 103 15.0 o234.5
DET 123 -15.0 u234.5
Final Mar 11
BK 104 15.0 o223.5
CLE 109 -15.0 u223.5
Final Mar 11
MIL 114 1.5 o237.5
IND 115 -1.5 u237.5
Final Mar 11
LAC 120 -7.5 o222.5
NO 127 7.5 u222.5
Orlando 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE30-36
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE42-23

Orlando @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Magic).

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to three-point attempts. The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Magic).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has sunk 39.8% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Aaron Gordon figures to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Aaron Gordon has sunk 39.8% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Aaron Gordon figures to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Orlando

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 50.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 50.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 8.2% more than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Franz Wagner Points Scored Props • Orlando

F. Wagner
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup. The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the league this year has been the Magic. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Franz Wagner

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner rates in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup. The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the league this year has been the Magic. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Wendell Carter Points Scored Props • Orlando

W. Carter
center C • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Wendell Carter Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Wendell Carter

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Wendell Carter Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Goga Bitadze Points Scored Props • Orlando

G. Bitadze
center C • Orlando
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 2.0 mark, Goga Bitadze's field goals hit have surged this season to 3.9 per game. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Jokic is at home other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 54.1% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile). The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Goga Bitadze

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Relative to last season's 2.0 mark, Goga Bitadze's field goals hit have surged this season to 3.9 per game. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Jokic is at home other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a massive 54.1% of their shots from downtown (100th percentile). The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
small forward SF • Orlando
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero slots into the 98th percentile for shots taken, totaling 18.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero places in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero slots into the 98th percentile for shots taken, totaling 18.8 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero places in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Pickett Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Pickett
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Pickett ranks in the 7th percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 0.5 fouls per game this year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 75.0% rate, Jalen Pickett's free-throw effectiveness has surged this season to 100.0%. Jalen Pickett will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Jalen Pickett

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Pickett ranks in the 7th percentile for personal fouls, registering a lowly 0.5 fouls per game this year. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last season's 75.0% rate, Jalen Pickett's free-throw effectiveness has surged this season to 100.0%. Jalen Pickett will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Julian Strawther has made 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Julian Strawther has made 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Julian Strawther will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance for all stats.

Cole Anthony Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Anthony
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Cole Anthony has attempted 12.9 shots per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Cole Anthony has played 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 11.2 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Cole Anthony has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Cole Anthony

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Cole Anthony has attempted 12.9 shots per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Cole Anthony has played 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 11.2 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Magic are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets). The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Cole Anthony has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.5% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has converted 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has converted 91.9% of his foul shot attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Jamal Murray has converted 9.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray has converted 91.9% of his foul shot attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's made overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (18.9). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's made overall this season. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup against Orlando is a favorable one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (18.9). The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has successfully made 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Christian Braun has played 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have put up 20.2 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Christian Braun has successfully made 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Christian Braun has played 31.8 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have put up 20.2 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, creating a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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