Final Mar 11
WAS 103 15.0 o234.5
DET 123 -15.0 u234.5
Final Mar 11
BK 104 15.0 o223.5
CLE 109 -15.0 u223.5
Final Mar 11
MIL 114 1.5 o237.5
IND 115 -1.5 u237.5
Final Mar 11
LAC 120 -7.5 o222.5
NO 127 7.5 u222.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE33-31
Portland 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE28-38

Sacramento @ Portland props

Moda Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant has converted 2.3 treys per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Out of all players in the league, Jerami Grant measures in the 85th percentile for drawing fouls, posting an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game this year.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Jerami Grant has converted 2.3 treys per game this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Jerami Grant has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-best in the NBA) against the Kings, creating a positive matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Out of all players in the league, Jerami Grant measures in the 85th percentile for drawing fouls, posting an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game this year.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
center C • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
-102

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 94th percentile for shooting effectiveness away from home with an exceptional 61.6% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 57.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. Domantas Sabonis has played 36.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis lands in the 94th percentile for shooting effectiveness away from home with an exceptional 61.6% rate this year. Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 57.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 9.3% higher than he's made overall this season while playing away from home. Domantas Sabonis has played 36.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Z. LaVine
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Zach LaVine has made 9.8 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Zach LaVine has converted a whopping 3.2 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 rate last season. Zach LaVine has averaged 34.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach LaVine

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Zach LaVine has made 9.8 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Zach LaVine has converted a whopping 3.2 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.4 rate last season. Zach LaVine has averaged 34.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a positive one for field goals; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the highest Field Goal% in the league this year (51.5%). The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Scoot Henderson Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Henderson
point guard PG • Portland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Scoot Henderson has sunk 3.1 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Scoot Henderson has successfully made 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season at home. Scoot Henderson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Scoot Henderson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Scoot Henderson has sunk 3.1 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Scoot Henderson has successfully made 3.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made over the course of the season at home. Scoot Henderson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+106

Keegan Murray has converted 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on the road. Keegan Murray has made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing away from home. Keegan Murray has tallied 34.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Keegan Murray has converted 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year on the road. Keegan Murray has made 2.6 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing away from home. Keegan Murray has tallied 34.9 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Deni Avdija Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Avdija
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Trail Blazers's feeble 109.1 points per game places 5th-lowest in the league this year. The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Deni Avdija

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Trail Blazers's feeble 109.1 points per game places 5th-lowest in the league this year. The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Malik Monk has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 6.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Malik Monk ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Malik Monk

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Malik Monk has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the NBA, Malik Monk ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 6.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Malik Monk ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.9 minutes per game this year. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
+104

Toumani Camara has converted 67.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 21.4% higher than he's made overall this year on his home court. Toumani Camara has attempted 4.1 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.5 mark last season. Toumani Camara has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Toumani Camara

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Toumani Camara has converted 67.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 21.4% higher than he's made overall this year on his home court. Toumani Camara has attempted 4.1 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.5 mark last season. Toumani Camara has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (18.1). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Keon Ellis has successfully made 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.3% more than he's converted overall this season. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's made overall this season.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Keon Ellis has successfully made 56.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.3% more than he's converted overall this season. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's made overall this season.

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Anfernee Simons has attempted 7.3 three-point shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Anfernee Simons has tallied 30.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Anfernee Simons figures to see a spike in production in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Anfernee Simons has attempted 7.3 three-point shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Anfernee Simons has tallied 30.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Anfernee Simons figures to see a spike in production in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-120

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton places in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 30.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a good one; he has given up a massive 15.5 points per game on the road when facing fellow starting Cs this year (76th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably high this year (3.4 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 83rd percentile).

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Deandre Ayton has successfully made 8.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Among all players in the league, Deandre Ayton places in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 30.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a good one; he has given up a massive 15.5 points per game on the road when facing fellow starting Cs this year (76th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably high this year (3.4 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 83rd percentile).

DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. DeRozan
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots sunk, totaling an enormous 8.1 per game this year. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 42.8% of his 3-point shots when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). DeMar DeRozan has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

DeMar DeRozan

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Among all players in the NBA, DeMar DeRozan comes in at the 93rd percentile for shots sunk, totaling an enormous 8.1 per game this year. DeMar DeRozan has successfully made 42.8% of his 3-point shots when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. DeMar DeRozan has averaged 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). DeMar DeRozan has attempted 5.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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