Miami @ Brooklyn picks

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nets). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

Ziaire Williams has attempted 5.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Ziaire Williams has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Ziaire Williams has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).