Final Mar 11
WAS 103 15.0 o234.5
DET 123 -15.0 u234.5
Final Mar 11
BK 104 15.0 o223.5
CLE 109 -15.0 u223.5
Final Mar 11
MIL 114 1.5 o237.5
IND 115 -1.5 u237.5
Final Mar 11
LAC 120 -7.5 o222.5
NO 127 7.5 u222.5
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE29-35
Brooklyn 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE22-43

Miami @ Brooklyn props

Barclays Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cameron Johnson Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

C. Johnson
power forward PF • Brooklyn
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-129

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Cameron Johnson

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup against the Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

Ziaire Williams Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

Z. Williams
small forward SF • Brooklyn
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Ziaire Williams has attempted 5.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Ziaire Williams has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Ziaire Williams has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Ziaire Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Ziaire Williams has attempted 5.1 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Ziaire Williams has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this season. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Ziaire Williams has successfully made 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson lands in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 6.7 per game this year. Duncan Robinson has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nets, labeling this as a good matchup. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson lands in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 6.7 per game this year. Duncan Robinson has averaged 28.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nets, labeling this as a good matchup. Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have registered 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive production. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 33.3% more than he's sunk overall this year. The matchup against the Nets is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have registered 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive production. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 33.3% more than he's sunk overall this year. The matchup against the Nets is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has made 62.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 16.3% higher than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Nikola Jovic has made 62.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 16.3% higher than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.6). The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nets). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo figures to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

The matchup against the Nets is a difficult one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.6). The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league this year. The Miami Heat will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nets). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo figures to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

D'Angelo Russell Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

D. Russell
point guard PG • Brooklyn
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-110

Relative to last season's 6.4 rate, D'Angelo Russell's shots hit have been reduced this season to 4.4 per game. Compared to last season's 33.0 rate, D'Angelo Russell's playing time has dropped this season to 25.7 minutes per game. The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

D'Angelo Russell

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Relative to last season's 6.4 rate, D'Angelo Russell's shots hit have been reduced this season to 4.4 per game. Compared to last season's 33.0 rate, D'Angelo Russell's playing time has dropped this season to 25.7 minutes per game. The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league this year. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Brooklyn Nets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Day'Ron Sharpe Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

D. Sharpe
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Day'Ron Sharpe has sunk 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 58.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year at home. Day'Ron Sharpe has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 24.0% more than he's sunk overall this season. Day'Ron Sharpe will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Day'Ron Sharpe

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Day'Ron Sharpe has sunk 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 58.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year at home. Day'Ron Sharpe has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 24.0% more than he's sunk overall this season. Day'Ron Sharpe will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Keon Johnson Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

K. Johnson
shooting guard SG • Brooklyn
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Keon Johnson has attempted 14.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Keon Johnson has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Keon Johnson has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). Keon Johnson has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Keon Johnson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Keon Johnson has attempted 14.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Keon Johnson has attempted 7.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Keon Johnson has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's played in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). Keon Johnson has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 56.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.6% higher than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage. Kel'el Ware has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 higher than he's played over the course of the year. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. The clash with Nic Claxton lands in the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs nailing a monstrous 45.3% of their treys this year. Kel'el Ware has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 28.6% higher than he's made in all games this year while playing on the road.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 56.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.6% higher than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage. Kel'el Ware has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 higher than he's played over the course of the year. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. The clash with Nic Claxton lands in the 100th percentile with the opposing team's starting Cs nailing a monstrous 45.3% of their treys this year. Kel'el Ware has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 28.6% higher than he's made in all games this year while playing on the road.

Nic Claxton Points Scored Props • Brooklyn

N. Claxton
center C • Brooklyn
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Nic Claxton has made 61.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Nic Claxton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Nic Claxton

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Nic Claxton has made 61.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.6% more than he's made in all games this season. Nic Claxton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has converted an impressive 3.8 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 3.2 mark last year. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.9 3-pointers per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a positive matchup. Tyler Herro has made 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Tyler Herro has converted an impressive 3.8 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 3.2 mark last year. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. In terms of 3-point shots, the Heat's exceptional 36.8% rate of made threes rates 8th-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 2.9 3-pointers per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a positive matchup. Tyler Herro has made 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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