Final Mar 11
WAS 103 15.0 o234.5
DET 123 -15.0 u234.5
Final Mar 11
BK 104 15.0 o223.5
CLE 109 -15.0 u223.5
Final Mar 11
MIL 114 1.5 o237.5
IND 115 -1.5 u237.5
Final Mar 11
LAC 120 -7.5 o222.5
NO 127 7.5 u222.5
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE42-23
Phoenix 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE30-35

Denver @ Phoenix props

Footprint Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. Dunn
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Ryan Dunn has sunk 52.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home. The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the NBA). Ryan Dunn is expected to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Ryan Dunn has sunk 52.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home. The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the NBA). Ryan Dunn is expected to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

The Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Devin Booker

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.8
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.8

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-140
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-140
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 1.5 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). Christian Braun will likely see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

Christian Braun

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 1.5 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Suns, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). Christian Braun will likely see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.

Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokić
center C • Denver
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nick Richards has been very low (0.8 per game) when playing at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Nick Richards has been remarkably low this year (1.0 free throws per game when they are playing at home: 3rd percentile). Nikola Jokic is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Nikola Jokić

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nick Richards has been very low (0.8 per game) when playing at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Nick Richards has been remarkably low this year (1.0 free throws per game when they are playing at home: 3rd percentile). Nikola Jokic is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this game.

Mason Plumlee Points Scored Props • Phoenix

M. Plumlee
center C • Phoenix
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Mason Plumlee has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home. Mason Plumlee will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Mason Plumlee

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Mason Plumlee has sunk 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 25.6% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season at home. Mason Plumlee will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Royce O'Neale rates in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Out of all players in the league, Royce O'Neale rates in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Suns have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, struggling to draw fouls.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has made 51.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 48.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this season while on the road. The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 82nd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a monstrous 3.2 free throw attempts per game this year.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Aaron Gordon has made 51.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Aaron Gordon has successfully made 48.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 13.2% higher than he's made in all games this season while on the road. The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 82nd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a monstrous 3.2 free throw attempts per game this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Jamal Murray has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Jamal Murray has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns). Jamal Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has made 11.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 10th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.9). The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Michael Porter

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Michael Porter Jr. has made 11.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 10th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.9). The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Grayson Allen has sunk 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted in all games this season at home. The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Grayson Allen has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 9.4% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the NBA).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Grayson Allen has sunk 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted in all games this season at home. The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Grayson Allen has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 9.4% more than he's converted in all games this year playing at home. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.2 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the NBA).

Tyus Jones Points Scored Props • Phoenix

T. Jones
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Tyus Jones has successfully made 39.0% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones places in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones comes in at the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 1.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Tyus Jones

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Tyus Jones has successfully made 39.0% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones places in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Tyus Jones comes in at the 24th percentile for personal fouls, averaging just 1.0 fouls per game while on his home court this year. The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Phoenix

N. Richards
center C • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Nick Richards will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Nick Richards

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

The Suns have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets). Nick Richards will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Strawther
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 10th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.9). The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Julian Strawther has made an impressive 82.6% of his free throws this season, quite a bit higher than his 60.0 mark last season.

Julian Strawther

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

The matchup against Phoenix is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Suns are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 10th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.9). The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Julian Strawther has made an impressive 82.6% of his free throws this season, quite a bit higher than his 60.0 mark last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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