ATL 5.5 o222.0
ORL -5.5 u222.0
SA -11.0 o236.5
WAS 11.0 u236.5
MIN 9.5 o229.0
CLE -9.5 u229.0
CHA 4.0 o212.5
BK -4.0 u212.5
BOS -6.0 o219.0
MIA 6.0 u219.0
GS -6.5 o232.5
MIL 6.5 u232.5
NO 15.5 o234.5
OKC -15.5 u234.5
SAC 1.0 o237.0
DAL -1.0 u237.0
POR 9.5 o233.0
DEN -9.5 u233.0
UTA 12.5 o235.5
LAL -12.5 u235.5
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE30-23
Cleveland 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE42-10

Minnesota @ Cleveland props

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Anthony Edwards should see a decline in performance for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Anthony Edwards should see a decline in performance for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile). This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jaden McDaniels will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile). This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jaden McDaniels will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's remarkable 122.4 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Jarrett Allen has sunk 88.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jarrett Allen will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's remarkable 122.4 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Jarrett Allen has sunk 88.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Jarrett Allen will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

Darius Garland has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Darius Garland

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Darius Garland has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Donovan Mitchell has averaged a measly 31.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 35.8 minutes per game last year. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Donovan Mitchell has averaged a measly 31.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 35.8 minutes per game last year. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 5thworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the league) against the Cavaliers, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Naz Reid should suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Naz Reid

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Naz Reid registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the league) against the Cavaliers, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Naz Reid should suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-113
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-113
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 44.7% mark, Mike Conley's scoring efficiency has tailed off this year to 36.9%. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA). Mike Conley ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Relative to last year's 44.7% mark, Mike Conley's scoring efficiency has tailed off this year to 36.9%. The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the league as the away team with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA). Mike Conley ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has made 5.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Rudy Gobert has accumulated a mere 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.2 fouls per game last year. With respect to offense, the Timberwolves's terrific 119.2 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Rudy Gobert has made 5.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Rudy Gobert has accumulated a mere 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.2 fouls per game last year. With respect to offense, the Timberwolves's terrific 119.2 points per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
center C • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley rates in the 88th percentile for scoring proficiency with the home court advantage with a superb 54.7% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's remarkable 122.4 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Evan Mobley has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Among all players in the league, Evan Mobley rates in the 88th percentile for scoring proficiency with the home court advantage with a superb 54.7% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Evan Mobley ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's remarkable 122.4 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the league this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. Evan Mobley has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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