Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Phoenix 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48

Phoenix @ San Antonio picks

Moody Center

PHO vs SA Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
R. Dunn u0.5 Total Assists
Projection 0.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u0.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 -115
0.5 -115

The 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 2ndworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Ryan Dunn figures to see a decline in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this contest.

Total Rebounds
H. Barnes o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -103 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -150
4.5 +110
4.5 -103
4.5 -130
4.5 -137
4.5 +100
4.5 -120
4.5 -110
4.5 -122
4.5 -104

Harrison Barnes has tallied 6.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's tallied overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes rates in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a measly 1.1 fouls per game on his home court this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Harrison Barnes should see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Points Scored
J. Sochan o9.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o9.5 -125 caesars
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 +100
10.5 -135
9.5 -125
9.5 -109
9.5 -130
9.5 +100
9.5 -128
9.5 +100

Jeremy Sochan has sunk 70.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Jeremy Sochan has made 46.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 16.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeremy Sochan will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

Total Rebounds
C. Paul o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -125
3.5 -105
3.5 -130
3.5 -103
3.5 -161
3.5 +116
3.5 -145
3.5 +114
3.5 -166
3.5 +130

Among all players in the NBA, Chris Paul places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.1 minutes per game while at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Chris Paul stands to get a boost in production for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

3-Pointers Made
J. Sochan o0.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +159 caesars
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
0.5 +130
0.5 -160
0.5 +120
0.5 -160
0.5 +159
0.5 -222

Jeremy Sochan has made 46.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 16.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jeremy Sochan will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

Total Rebounds
S. Castle o3.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 +114 draftkings
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 +105
3.5 -140
3.5 +102
3.5 -136
3.5 +104
3.5 -143
3.5 +114
3.5 -145
3.5 +102
3.5 -130

Stephon Castle has compiled 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.7 higher than he's compiled in all games this year at home. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephon Castle figures to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
R. O'Neale u9.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u9.5 -111 fanduel
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
9.5 -118
9.5 -118
9.5 -110
9.5 -120
9.5 -115
9.5 -111

The matchup against the Spurs is a challenging one for scoring; the other team's starting SFs have put up the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (36.0%). The 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 2ndworst in in the NBA without the home court advantage with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. Royce O'Neale ought to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Total Assists
C. Paul o6.5 Total Assists
Projection 8.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -130 draftkings
Projection updated: 62 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -105
7.5 -125
7.5 +110
7.5 -145
6.5 -136
6.5 +102
6.5 -147
6.5 +108
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
6.5 -136
6.5 +106

Chris Paul has put up a terrific 8.1 assists per game this year, significantly higher than his 6.7 assists per game last year. Among all players in the NBA, Chris Paul places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.1 minutes per game while at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Chris Paul stands to get a boost in production for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

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