PHI 13.5 o220.5
NY -13.5 u220.5
POR 5.0 o238.5
ATL -5.0 u238.5
PHO 5.5 o225.0
MIL -5.5 u225.0
ORL -4.0 o217.5
SA 4.0 u217.5
TOR 4.5 o235.5
CHI -4.5 u235.5
GS -4.0 o238.5
MEM 4.0 u238.5
MIN 3.0 o232.0
DEN -3.0 u232.0
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE34-41
Toronto 11th EASTERN CONFERENCE28-47

Miami @ Toronto props

Scotiabank Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan Mogbo Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Mogbo
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jonathan Mogbo has successfully made 62.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.2% higher than he's converted overall this season playing at home. Jonathan Mogbo has sunk 88.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 54.5% more than he's converted in all games this season on his home court. Jonathan Mogbo has been on the court for 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The showdown with Kel'el Ware rates in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs burying an enormous 45.3% of their treys this year. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonathan Mogbo

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Jonathan Mogbo has successfully made 62.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 15.2% higher than he's converted overall this season playing at home. Jonathan Mogbo has sunk 88.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 54.5% more than he's converted in all games this season on his home court. Jonathan Mogbo has been on the court for 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The showdown with Kel'el Ware rates in the 100th percentile with rival starting Cs burying an enormous 45.3% of their treys this year. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Immanuel Quickley has made 50.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Immanuel Quickley registers in the 87th percentile for free-throw efficiency at home with an impressive 90.6% rate this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Immanuel Quickley has made 50.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 5.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Heat, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Immanuel Quickley registers in the 87th percentile for free-throw efficiency at home with an impressive 90.6% rate this year. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Gradey Dick Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Dick
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Gradey Dick has attempted 6.2 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 4.0 mark last year. Gradey Dick has tallied a terrific 29.6 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 21.2 minutes per game last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a good matchup. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Gradey Dick has converted a whopping 2.6 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.7 mark last year.

Gradey Dick

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Gradey Dick has attempted 6.2 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 4.0 mark last year. Gradey Dick has tallied a terrific 29.6 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 21.2 minutes per game last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a good matchup. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Gradey Dick has converted a whopping 2.6 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.7 mark last year.

Ja'Kobe Walter Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Walter
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Ja'Kobe Walter has sunk 58.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year at home. Ja'Kobe Walter has converted 47.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 14.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season on his home court. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Ja'Kobe Walter ought to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Ja'Kobe Walter

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Ja'Kobe Walter has sunk 58.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 12.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year at home. Ja'Kobe Walter has converted 47.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 14.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season on his home court. The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Ja'Kobe Walter ought to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Raptors's feeble 103.4 points per game ranks 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat). RJ Barrett has successfully made a measly 59.9% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 70.7 rate last season.

RJ Barrett

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Out of all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year. When it comes to scoring, the Raptors's feeble 103.4 points per game ranks 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage. The Toronto Raptors will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat). RJ Barrett has successfully made a measly 59.9% of his free throw attempts this season, a sizeable decrease from his 70.7 rate last season.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has converted 44.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 9.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Bam Adebayo has sunk 9.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has converted 44.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 9.5% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season without the home court advantage. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 5.8 per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has tallied 30.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 79th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 7.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 85th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 5.8 per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has tallied 30.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 79th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 7.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.4 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has attempted 10.3 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 89.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's made in all games this year. The clash with Orlando Robinson with respect to getting to the free-throw line rates in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game this year.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Kel'el Ware has attempted 10.3 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 9.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. Kel'el Ware has successfully made 89.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's made in all games this year. The clash with Orlando Robinson with respect to getting to the free-throw line rates in only the 90th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game this year.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.8 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 8.1 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. The matchup vs. Toronto is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6). Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.8 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 8.1 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. The matchup vs. Toronto is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6). Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made overall this year while playing on the road.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has made 53.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. Davion Mitchell has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Davion Mitchell has made 53.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown. Davion Mitchell has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has sunk 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this year while on the road. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on the road. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown.

Nikola Jović

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Nikola Jovic has sunk 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this year while on the road. Nikola Jovic has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on the road. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from downtown.

Scottie Barnes Points Scored Props • Toronto

S. Barnes
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Scottie Barnes has attempted 16.0 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Scottie Barnes has averaged 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes comes in at the 90th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a colossal 4.3 free throws per game on his home court this year.

Scottie Barnes

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Scottie Barnes has attempted 16.0 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Scottie Barnes has averaged 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The Raptors have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Scottie Barnes comes in at the 90th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a colossal 4.3 free throws per game on his home court this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic