Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30

Minnesota @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jabari Smith Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 4.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls. Jabari Smith Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Jabari Smith

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 4.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls. Jabari Smith Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-113

Alperen Sengun has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Alperen Sengun should see a rise in performance for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Alperen Sengun has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Alperen Sengun should see a rise in performance for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jalen Green has attempted 19.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 8.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Jalen Green has attempted 19.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 8.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Under
-105

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league while on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jaden McDaniels has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league while on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-104

In terms of shooting, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 103.6 points per game as the home team ranks 2nd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have posted the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves). The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Amen Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

In terms of shooting, the Houston Rockets's lackluster 103.6 points per game as the home team ranks 2nd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PGs have posted the lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.8%). The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Rockets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves). The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Tari Eason has converted 56.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tari Eason has converted 74.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 30.2% more than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court. Tari Eason has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Tari Eason

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Tari Eason has converted 56.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tari Eason has converted 74.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 30.2% more than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court. Tari Eason has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Dillon Brooks has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Dillon Brooks has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Dillon Brooks has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Dillon Brooks has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Over
-124

Anthony Edwards has averaged 37.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. In comparison to last year's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's 3-point shots hit have surged this year to 4.2 per game. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.9 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Anthony Edwards has attempted 12.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.4

Anthony Edwards has averaged 37.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. In comparison to last year's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's 3-point shots hit have surged this year to 4.2 per game. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.9 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Anthony Edwards has attempted 12.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-132

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 5.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. In comparison to last year's 3.2 clip, Rudy Gobert's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 2.4. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Rudy Gobert has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 5.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. In comparison to last year's 3.2 clip, Rudy Gobert's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 2.4. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Rudy Gobert has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Naz Reid has converted 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Naz Reid has sunk 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season on the road. Naz Reid has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against Houston may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are playing at home (most in the NBA).

Naz Reid

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.5
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.5

Naz Reid has converted 7.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Naz Reid has sunk 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season on the road. Naz Reid has been on the court for 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against Houston may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are playing at home (most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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