MIL -6.0 o230.0
WAS 6.0 u230.0
MEM -3.5 o225.5
ORL 3.5 u225.5
NY 8.5 o241.5
CLE -8.5 u241.5
MIA -3.0 o218.5
TOR 3.0 u218.5
DET -4.0 o235.5
SA 4.0 u235.5
NO 5.5 o237.0
DAL -5.5 u237.0
OKC -15.5 o234.5
UTA 15.5 u234.5
MIN 3.5 o221.0
HOU -3.5 u221.0
GS -2.0 o236.0
SAC 2.0 u236.0
Minnesota 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-25
Houston 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-21

Minnesota @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alperen Şengün Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Şengün
center C • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Alperen Sengun has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Alperen Sengun should see a rise in performance for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Alperen Şengün

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Alperen Sengun has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Alperen Sengun has attempted 6.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Alperen Sengun should see a rise in performance for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile). This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league while on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Naz Reid has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile). This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league while on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jabari Smith Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 4.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls. Jabari Smith Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Jabari Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 76th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, posting 4.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 31.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls. Jabari Smith Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-140
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Under
-140
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 4th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing away from home, averaging 0.0 per game this year. The number of points posted against Alperen Sengun has been quite low (10.8 per game) when he is at home and defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league while on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 4th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing away from home, averaging 0.0 per game this year. The number of points posted against Alperen Sengun has been quite low (10.8 per game) when he is at home and defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league while on the road with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has converted 56.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tari Eason has converted 74.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 30.2% more than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court. Tari Eason has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tari Eason will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Tari Eason

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Tari Eason has converted 56.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. Tari Eason has converted 74.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 30.2% more than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court. Tari Eason has tallied 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tari Eason will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Amen Thompson has attempted 12.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Amen Thompson has sunk a whopping 21.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.4 rate last year. Amen Thompson has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Amen Thompson has attempted 3.5 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Amen Thompson has attempted 12.2 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Amen Thompson has sunk a whopping 21.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.4 rate last year. Amen Thompson has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.3 more than he's averaged overall this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Amen Thompson has attempted 3.5 free throws per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jalen Green has attempted 19.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 8.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Jalen Green has attempted 19.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 8.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Jalen Green has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.6). Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 36.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's sunk overall this season on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Jaden McDaniels has made 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Jaden McDaniels has averaged 36.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's sunk overall this season on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Dillon Brooks has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Dillon Brooks has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Dillon Brooks has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Dillon Brooks has attempted 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has averaged 37.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. In comparison to last year's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's 3-point shots hit have surged this year to 4.2 per game. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.9 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Anthony Edwards has attempted 12.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.9

Anthony Edwards has averaged 37.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.5 more than he's averaged overall this season. In comparison to last year's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's 3-point shots hit have surged this year to 4.2 per game. Anthony Edwards has been on the court for 36.9 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Anthony Edwards has attempted 12.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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