Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Milwaukee 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34

Miami @ Milwaukee picks

Fiserv Forum

MIA vs MIL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
K. Kuzma o15.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 -106 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 59 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
15.5 -130
15.5 +100
15.5 -106
15.5 -125
15.5 -137
15.5 +100
15.5 -125
15.5 -105
15.5 -120
15.5 -106

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma places in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 28.7 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Total Assists
T. Herro u6.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.1 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -135 bet365
Projection updated: 59 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +105
6.5 -135
6.5 +125
6.5 -165
6.5 +106
6.5 -141
6.5 +108
6.5 -147
6.5 +110
6.5 -140
5.5 -156
5.5 +122

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

Total Rebounds
K. Ware u8.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u8.5 -136 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 59 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +102
8.5 -136
8.5 +126
8.5 -175
7.5 -130
7.5 +100
7.5 -128
7.5 +100

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Kel'el Ware will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Total Assists
D. Mitchell o3.5 Total Assists
Projection 5 (Over)
Best Odds
o3.5 -135 bet365
Projection updated: 59 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
3.5 -135
3.5 +105
3.5 -145
3.5 +105
3.5 -155
3.5 +115
4.5 +120
4.5 -167
4.5 +120
4.5 -154
4.5 +124
4.5 -158

Davion Mitchell has averaged 4.5 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Points Scored
D. Mitchell o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -113 fanduel
Projection updated: 59 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -125
6.5 -105
6.5 -121
6.5 -110
6.5 -128
6.5 -106
6.5 -120
6.5 -110
6.5 -113
6.5 -113

Davion Mitchell has converted 51.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Davion Mitchell has converted 58.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 17.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.7).

Total Rebounds
B. Adebayo o10.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 11.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -105 draftkings
Projection updated: 59 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 -105
10.5 -125
10.5 -108
10.5 -124
10.5 -114
10.5 -120
10.5 -105
10.5 -125
10.5 -111
10.5 -115

Bam Adebayo has totaled 4.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's totaled in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

MIA vs MIL Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

70% picking Milwaukee

30%
70%

Total Picks MIA 177, MIL 422

Spread
MIA
MIL
Total

61% picking Miami vs Milwaukee to go Over

61%
39%

Total PicksMIA 212, MIL 138

Total
Over
Under

MIA vs MIL Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders page to see all User picks.

Pages Related to This Topic