LIVE Halftime Mar 31
HOU 48 4.0 o226.0
LAL 48 -4.0 u226.0
Final Mar 31
UTA 106 4.5 o222.5
CHA 110 -4.5 u222.5
Final Mar 31
LAC 96 -3.0 o212.0
ORL 87 3.0 u212.0
Final Mar 31
SAC 109 3.5 o234.0
IND 111 -3.5 u234.0
Final Mar 31
MIA 120 -9.5 o215.0
WAS 94 9.5 u215.0
Final Mar 31
BOS 117 -4.0 o236.0
MEM 103 4.0 u236.0
Final Mar 31
CHI 117 15.0 o240.5
OKC 145 -15.0 u240.5
Final Mar 31
BK 113 10.0 o219.5
DAL 109 -10.0 u219.5
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE34-41
Milwaukee 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-34

Miami @ Milwaukee props

Fiserv Forum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Kuzma Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Kuzma
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma places in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 28.7 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Kyle Kuzma

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Kuzma places in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 28.7 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has converted 51.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Davion Mitchell has converted 58.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 17.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.7).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Davion Mitchell has converted 51.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 10.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing away from home. Davion Mitchell has converted 58.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 17.2% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year without the home court advantage. Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.7).

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has attempted 10.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 9.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 97th percentile with a colossal 2.8 treys attempted against him per game this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Kel'el Ware has attempted 10.3 shots per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 9.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 97th percentile with a colossal 2.8 treys attempted against him per game this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.7
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.7

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Brook Lopez has converted 54.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.3% more than he's sunk overall this year. Brook Lopez has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The rate of 3-point shots converted against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (44.0%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Brook Lopez has converted 54.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.3% more than he's sunk overall this year. Brook Lopez has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The rate of 3-point shots converted against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (44.0%) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Nikola Jović Points Scored Props • Miami

N. Jović
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 51.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 6.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year on the road. Nikola Jovic has converted 45.4% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's converted in all games this year when playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Nikola Jović

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 51.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 6.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year on the road. Nikola Jovic has converted 45.4% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's converted in all games this year when playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard has compiled 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's compiled overall this season. Damian Lillard has attempted 10.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 36.4 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have scored 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup for offensive productivity.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Damian Lillard has compiled 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 more than he's compiled overall this season. Damian Lillard has attempted 10.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 36.4 minutes per game this year. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have scored 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup for offensive productivity.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 3.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. Andrew Wiggins has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.5 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Andrew Wiggins has averaged 21.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 3.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road. Andrew Wiggins has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.5 more than he's played over the course of the season on the road. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 14.0 made threes per game ranks 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8). The Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Taurean Prince Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

T. Prince
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Taurean Prince has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Taurean Prince has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Taurean Prince

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Taurean Prince has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Taurean Prince has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to get to the foul line. Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to get to the foul line. Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. Giannis Antetokounmpo will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest three rate in the league this year (43.4%). The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games. Giannis Antetokounmpo will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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