PHI 13.5 o220.5
NY -13.5 u220.5
POR 5.0 o238.0
ATL -5.0 u238.0
PHO 5.5 o225.0
MIL -5.5 u225.0
ORL -4.0 o217.5
SA 4.0 u217.5
TOR 4.5 o235.5
CHI -4.5 u235.5
GS -4.0 o238.5
MEM 4.0 u238.5
MIN 3.0 o232.0
DEN -3.0 u232.0
Miami 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE34-41
Atlanta 7th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-38

Miami @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has sunk 51.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road. Davion Mitchell has sunk 56.5% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 15.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season on the road. Davion Mitchell has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Davion Mitchell has sunk 51.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing on the road. Davion Mitchell has sunk 56.5% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 15.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season on the road. Davion Mitchell has played 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's played over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-150
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-150
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Trae Young

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Mouhamed Gueye Points Scored Props • Atlanta

M. Gueye
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 100.0% of his free throws with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. Mouhamed Gueye figures to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Mouhamed Gueye

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (43.4%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 100.0% of his free throws with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. Mouhamed Gueye figures to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Zaccharie Risacher has made 58.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Zaccharie Risacher has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% more than he's made in all games this year.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Zaccharie Risacher has made 58.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. The matchup against Miami is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Zaccharie Risacher has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% more than he's made in all games this year.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Andrew Wiggins has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.5 more than he's played in all games this season on the road. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (60.1%). The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should increase possessions for the Miami Heat.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Andrew Wiggins has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.5 more than he's played in all games this season on the road. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Hawks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (60.1%). The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should increase possessions for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has made 5.1 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 10.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs registering a colossal 16.6 points per game this year when they are on the away squad. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should increase possessions for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Kel'el Ware has made 5.1 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games, 1.5 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 10.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs registering a colossal 16.6 points per game this year when they are on the away squad. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should increase possessions for the Miami Heat.

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dyson Daniels registers in the 82nd percentile for field goals sunk, registering a monstrous 5.8 per game this year. Dyson Daniels has converted 66.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 29.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Dyson Daniels has tallied 34.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Dyson Daniels registers in the 82nd percentile for field goals sunk, registering a monstrous 5.8 per game this year. Dyson Daniels has converted 66.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 29.3% higher than he's made in all games this year. Dyson Daniels has tallied 34.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 55.4% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a good one for three-pointers; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 45.0% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 55.4% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a good one for three-pointers; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 45.0% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 9.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has sunk 41.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 15.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (3rd-best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 9.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has sunk 41.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 15.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on field goal attempts (3rd-best in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
26.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 13.6 shot attempts per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should increase possessions for the Miami Heat.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.2

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA when playing on the road over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have averaged 13.6 shot attempts per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should increase possessions for the Miami Heat.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-132

Caris LeVert has attempted 10.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Caris LeVert has attempted 4.5 3-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Caris LeVert rates in the 75th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a massive 2.0 free throw attempts per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Caris LeVert has attempted 10.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Caris LeVert has attempted 4.5 3-point shots per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Hawks have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Caris LeVert rates in the 75th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a massive 2.0 free throw attempts per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.07
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-136
Under
+106
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
11.07
Best Odds
Over
-136
Under
+106

Terry Rozier has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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