Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE68-14
Atlanta 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE40-42

Oklahoma City @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-106

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 82nd percentile, tallying a massive 15.8 points per game this year. Chet Holmgren has made 53.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% more than he's made from three over the course of the year while playing away from home. The rate of shots scored against Mouhamed Gueye has been remarkably high (48.6%) when facing other starting PFs this year (83rd percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 82nd percentile, tallying a massive 15.8 points per game this year. Chet Holmgren has made 53.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.9% more than he's made from three over the course of the year while playing away from home. The rate of shots scored against Mouhamed Gueye has been remarkably high (48.6%) when facing other starting PFs this year (83rd percentile). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mouhamed Gueye Points Scored Props • Atlanta

M. Gueye
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year. Mouhamed Gueye has made 100.0% of his foul shots while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road (7th-most in the NBA). Mouhamed Gueye will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Mouhamed Gueye

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year. Mouhamed Gueye has made 100.0% of his foul shots while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road (7th-most in the NBA). Mouhamed Gueye will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a very good 86.6% rate this year.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 82nd percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a very good 86.6% rate this year.

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-130

Caris LeVert has attempted 12.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Caris LeVert has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year. Caris LeVert will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to boost stat production across the board.

Caris LeVert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Caris LeVert has attempted 12.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Caris LeVert has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year. Caris LeVert will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to boost stat production across the board.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Isaiah Hartenstein has attempted 8.5 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.0 rate last year. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu rates in just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs putting up a colossal 16.6 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup with Onyeka Okongwu in regard to getting to the free-throw line ranks in just the 81st percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game this year when they are on the away squad.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Isaiah Hartenstein has attempted 8.5 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 5.0 rate last year. The showdown with Onyeka Okongwu rates in just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs putting up a colossal 16.6 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup with Onyeka Okongwu in regard to getting to the free-throw line ranks in just the 81st percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game this year when they are on the away squad.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. In regard to drawing fouls, the Oklahoma City Thunder's poor 20.0 foul shot attempts per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. Cason Wallace figures to suffer a reduction in production for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

The 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. In regard to drawing fouls, the Oklahoma City Thunder's poor 20.0 foul shot attempts per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the league this year. Cason Wallace figures to suffer a reduction in production for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 32.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 32.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Hawks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dyson Daniels Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Daniels
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-125

Dyson Daniels has made 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Dyson Daniels has successfully made 58.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 20.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Dyson Daniels comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Dyson Daniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Dyson Daniels has made 7.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Dyson Daniels has successfully made 58.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 20.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Dyson Daniels comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.0 minutes per game this year. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Trae Young has notched 28.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's notched overall this year. Trae Young has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Trae Young has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a good matchup. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year.

Trae Young

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Trae Young has notched 28.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he's notched overall this year. Trae Young has attempted 10.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Trae Young has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a good matchup. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year.

Zaccharie Risacher Points Scored Props • Atlanta

Z. Risacher
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+104

Zaccharie Risacher has converted 42.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 12.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year. Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Zaccharie Risacher stands to see an increase in output for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Zaccharie Risacher

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Zaccharie Risacher has converted 42.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 12.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year. Zaccharie Risacher has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 24.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Zaccharie Risacher stands to see an increase in output for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Aaron Wiggins has made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home. Aaron Wiggins has played 26.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Wiggins has made 95.8% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 9.0% more than he's made in all games this year.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Aaron Wiggins has made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing away from home. Aaron Wiggins has played 26.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 higher than he's played overall this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder. The Thunder rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Wiggins has made 95.8% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 9.0% more than he's made in all games this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 47.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year on the road. Compared to last season's 3.6 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 5.7 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.1
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.1

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 47.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 9.7% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year on the road. Compared to last season's 3.6 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 3-point attempts have jumped this season to 5.7 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has tallied 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-point attempts; when the Hawks are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.6). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Thunder.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
center C • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. Onyeka Okongwu has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a positive one for shots from downtown; when Holmgren is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 50.0% of their 3-pointers (100th percentile). The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court. Onyeka Okongwu has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a positive one for shots from downtown; when Holmgren is on the visiting team fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 50.0% of their 3-pointers (100th percentile). The Hawks have played at the quickest pace in the league playing at home this year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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