Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
New York 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

New York @ Miami picks

Kaseya Center

NY vs MIA Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
H. Highsmith o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 52 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -128
5.5 -106
5.5 -120
5.5 -110

Haywood Highsmith has made 71.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 28.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, creating a good matchup. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 44.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Haywood Highsmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Points Scored
D. Robinson o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -122 fanduel
Projection updated: 52 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 +100
11.5 -130
11.5 +104
11.5 -143
11.5 -110
11.5 -120
10.5 -122
10.5 -104

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.5 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made over the course of the year at home. Duncan Robinson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Duncan Robinson figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
A. Burks o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 52 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 +100
8.5 -135
10.5 -106
10.5 -128
10.5 +100
10.5 -130
10.5 -102
10.5 -125

Alec Burks has converted 39.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Alec Burks has been called for 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (14th percentile). The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, creating a good matchup. Alec Burks ought to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Total Assists
T. Herro u6.5 Total Assists
Projection 5.5 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 -115 bet365
Projection updated: 52 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 -105
6.5 -125
6.5 +104
6.5 -137
6.5 +104
6.5 -143
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +124
6.5 -160

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
B. Adebayo u19.5 Points Scored
Projection 17.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u19.5 -113 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 52 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
19.5 +100
19.5 -130
19.5 -118
19.5 -113
19.5 +104
19.5 -143
18.5 -120
18.5 -110
19.5 +104
19.5 -132

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
D. Mitchell o8.5 Points Scored
Projection 10 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -114 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 52 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
8.5 -114
8.5 -117
8.5 -125
8.5 -109
8.5 -120
8.5 -110
8.5 -115
8.5 -111

Davion Mitchell has converted 59.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against the New York Knicks is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

NY vs MIA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

64% picking New York vs Miami to go Over

64%
36%

Total PicksNY 257, MIA 146

Total
Over
Under

NY vs MIA Top User Picks

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User Picks

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