Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
New York 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE51-31
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

New York @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has made 71.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 28.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, creating a good matchup. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 44.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Haywood Highsmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Haywood Highsmith has made 71.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 28.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, creating a good matchup. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 44.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year while at home. Haywood Highsmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.5 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made over the course of the year at home. Duncan Robinson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Duncan Robinson figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Duncan Robinson has sunk 3.5 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's made over the course of the year at home. Duncan Robinson has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Duncan Robinson figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has converted 39.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Alec Burks has been called for 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (14th percentile). The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, creating a good matchup. Alec Burks ought to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Alec Burks

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Alec Burks has converted 39.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. Alec Burks has been called for 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the lowest-fouling players in the league (14th percentile). The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on threes (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, creating a good matchup. Alec Burks ought to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Under
-113

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks). The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-114

Davion Mitchell has converted 59.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against the New York Knicks is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Davion Mitchell has converted 59.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.1% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against the New York Knicks is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • New York

K. Towns
center C • New York
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Under
-122

Karl-Anthony Towns has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Knicks. The 3rd-slowest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Knicks. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game (7th percentile).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

Karl-Anthony Towns has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Knicks. The 3rd-slowest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the New York Knicks. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Knicks. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game (7th percentile).

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson comes in at the 98th percentile, tallying a whopping 26.1 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Brunson has converted 91.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson comes in at the 98th percentile, tallying a whopping 26.1 points per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Brunson has converted 91.5% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 10.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Miles McBride Points Scored Props • New York

M. McBride
point guard PG • New York
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Miles McBride has made 48.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 6.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Miles McBride has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 19.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Miles McBride

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Miles McBride has made 48.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 6.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). Miles McBride has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 19.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

OG Anunoby Points Scored Props • New York

O. Anunoby
power forward PF • New York
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Among all players in the league, OG Anunoby slots into the 85th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 5.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, OG Anunoby registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). OG Anunoby has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

OG Anunoby

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Among all players in the league, OG Anunoby slots into the 85th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 5.8 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, OG Anunoby registers in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 36.3 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (best in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). OG Anunoby has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Mikal Bridges Points Scored Props • New York

M. Bridges
small forward SF • New York
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges lands in the 87th percentile for shots taken when playing away from home, registering 14.0 per game this year. Mikal Bridges has attempted 6.3 shots from downtown per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 38.0 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Mikal Bridges

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

Among all players in the NBA, Mikal Bridges lands in the 87th percentile for shots taken when playing away from home, registering 14.0 per game this year. Mikal Bridges has attempted 6.3 shots from downtown per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Mikal Bridges lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 38.0 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-132

Compared to last year's 41.6% mark, Josh Hart's shooting efficiency has jumped this year to 55.9%. Josh Hart has been on the court for 37.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a positive matchup. The clash with Alec Burks measures in the 86th percentile with rival starting SFs nailing a monstrous 38.6% of their three-pointers this year. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Compared to last year's 41.6% mark, Josh Hart's shooting efficiency has jumped this year to 55.9%. Josh Hart has been on the court for 37.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a positive matchup. The clash with Alec Burks measures in the 86th percentile with rival starting SFs nailing a monstrous 38.6% of their three-pointers this year. The Knicks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly more than his 8.1 mark last season. Tyler Herro has played 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 44.7% on three-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, creating a strong matchup.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Tyler Herro has attempted 21.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, significantly more than his 8.1 mark last season. Tyler Herro has played 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 44.7% on three-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, creating a strong matchup.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has converted 5.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage. Kel'el Ware has made 50.3% of his 3-point shots while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Kel'el Ware will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Kel'el Ware has converted 5.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage. Kel'el Ware has made 50.3% of his 3-point shots while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 8.7 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. Kel'el Ware will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production for all stats.

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.89
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+102
Under
-130
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.89
Best Odds
Over
+102
Under
-130

Mitchell Robinson has gone over 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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