Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE40-42
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Sacramento @ Dallas picks

American Airlines Center

SAC vs DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
N. Marshall o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 14.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 51 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -105
11.5 -130
13.5 -114
13.5 -117
12.5 -114
12.5 -120
12.5 -115
12.5 -115
12.5 -113
12.5 -113

Relative to last season's 7.2 mark, Naji Marshall's points per game have spiked this season to 11.0. Naji Marshall has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Mavericks have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. Naji Marshall will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player performance for all stats.

Points Scored
D. Powell u5.5 Points Scored
Projection 3.8 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 -125 betmgm
Projection updated: 51 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -110
5.5 -125
4.5 -118
4.5 -118
4.5 -125
4.5 -105
4.5 -111
4.5 -115

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell ranks in the 12th percentile for playing time, posting a mere 8.1 minutes per game this year. The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
K. Ellis o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -118 betmgm
Projection updated: 51 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -118
7.5 -110
7.5 -147
7.5 +108
8.5 +105
8.5 -135
7.5 -132
7.5 +104

Keon Ellis has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Keon Ellis has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.7 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Total Rebounds
D. Powell u5.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 4.4 (Under)
Best Odds
u5.5 -120 draftkings
Projection updated: 51 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 +100
5.5 -135
5.5 -103
5.5 -133
5.5 -110
5.5 -120
5.5 +102
5.5 -130

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell ranks in the 12th percentile for playing time, posting a mere 8.1 minutes per game this year. The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
J. Valančiūnas o13.5 Points Scored
Projection 15.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o13.5 -115 betmgm
Projection updated: 51 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
13.5 -115
13.5 -115
14.5 -125
14.5 -107
14.5 -128
14.5 -106
14.5 -110
14.5 -120
14.5 -128
14.5 +100

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 63.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 100.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Dwight Powell slots into the 97th percentile with a massive 11.7 shots from the field against him per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The faceoff with Dwight Powell as it relates to getting to the foul line rates in just the 89th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 3.8 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.

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