Sacramento @ Denver props

Keon Ellis has sunk 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from three in all games this year away from his home court. Keon Ellis has averaged 27.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.6 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Keon Ellis has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Malik Monk has attempted 6.8 three-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Malik Monk places in the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Malik Monk has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Jamal Murray has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home. The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

In terms of three-point shots, the Kings's poor 33.6% rate of drained threes when playing away from home places 5th-weakest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9). The Kings have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe. DeMar DeRozan will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production across the board.

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The matchup vs. the Kings may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 8.6 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season on his home court. Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a favorable one; they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (17.4). The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year.

Nikola Jokic has scored 29.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 100th percentile. Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic rates in the 98th percentile for 3-point proficiency with an exceptional 47.6% rate this year. Nikola Jokic has tallied 35.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a positive one; he has given up a massive 16.4 points per game when facing other starting Cs this year (97th percentile). The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year.

Christian Braun has sunk 7.3 baskets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.4 more than he's converted overall this season while on his home court. Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun places in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game at home this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for threes; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.3). The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Zach LaVine has made 58.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 8.9% higher than he's made overall this year. Zach LaVine has made a whopping 41.1% of his three-point attempts this season, significantly higher than his 32.3 mark last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.5 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Denver is a good one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have given up the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Kings.

Russell Westbrook has sunk 55.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage. Russell Westbrook has converted 43.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year while at home. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Russell Westbrook will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Keegan Murray has sunk 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.7 minutes per game this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season while playing away from home. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for field goals; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 6.1 buckets per game (97th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase possessions for the Kings. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the league when playing away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 12.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

DeAndre Jordan has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Trey Lyles has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jake LaRavia has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Peyton Watson has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.