Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
San Antonio 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE34-48
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33

San Antonio @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • San Antonio

B. Biyombo
center C • San Antonio
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Bismack Biyombo has converted an impressive 62.6% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 56.3 mark last year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. When playing at home and defending other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert places in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 11.2 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (3.0 free throw attempts per game when they are on the road: 81st percentile).

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Bismack Biyombo has converted an impressive 62.6% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 56.3 mark last year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. When playing at home and defending other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert places in the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 11.2 shots from the field against him per game this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (3.0 free throw attempts per game when they are on the road: 81st percentile).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has totaled 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.1 more than he's totaled overall this year at home. Naz Reid has attempted 9.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Naz Reid has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.5 more than he's played overall this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Naz Reid

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Naz Reid has totaled 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.1 more than he's totaled overall this year at home. Naz Reid has attempted 9.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Naz Reid has played 36.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 8.5 more than he's played overall this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • San Antonio

C. Paul
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Chris Paul has sunk 62.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted overall this season. Chris Paul has played 28.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. Chris Paul has converted a terrific 89.9% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit more than his 75.1 mark last year.

Chris Paul

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Chris Paul has sunk 62.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's converted overall this season. Chris Paul has played 28.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. Chris Paul has converted a terrific 89.9% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit more than his 75.1 mark last year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Under
-114

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 8.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage. The number of fouls drawn by other starting SFs against Devin Vassell has been quite low this year (2.1 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Jaden McDaniels has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have logged 8.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage. The number of fouls drawn by other starting SFs against Devin Vassell has been quite low this year (2.1 foul shots per game: 10th percentile).

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • San Antonio

H. Barnes
power forward PF • San Antonio
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has made 51.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% more than he's converted in all games this year away from home. Harrison Barnes has converted 43.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games on the road, 13.6% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes measures in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Harrison Barnes has made 51.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% more than he's converted in all games this year away from home. Harrison Barnes has converted 43.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games on the road, 13.6% more than he's converted in all games this year while playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Harrison Barnes measures in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Fox
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 36.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 98th percentile. The Spurs check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Minnesota Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Stephon Castle Points Scored Props • San Antonio

S. Castle
point guard PG • San Antonio
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-145

Stephon Castle has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. The Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephon Castle stands to see a decline in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

Stephon Castle

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Stephon Castle has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year. The Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Stephon Castle stands to see a decline in effectiveness across the board considering playing away from home in this game.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season at home. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on threes (best in the league) against the Spurs, creating a strong matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Mike Conley has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season at home. This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on threes (best in the league) against the Spurs, creating a strong matchup. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Devin Vassell Points Scored Props • San Antonio

D. Vassell
shooting guard SG • San Antonio
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-108

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 3.0 clip, Devin Vassell's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 1.9 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

Devin Vassell

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The Spurs will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 3.0 clip, Devin Vassell's number of free throw attempts has decreased this season to 1.9 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Anthony Edwards has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.1 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.3 minutes per game on his home court this year. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a good one for field goals; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (54.7%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.5

Anthony Edwards has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.1 threes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 36.3 minutes per game on his home court this year. The matchup vs. San Antonio is a good one for field goals; when the San Antonio Spurs are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (54.7%). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-110

Julius Randle has posted 19.4 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Among all players in the league, Julius Randle measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 24 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Julius Randle has posted 19.4 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Among all players in the league, Julius Randle measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.4 minutes per game playing at home this year. The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 24 games when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

Rudy Gobert has sunk 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The number of 3-pointers converted against Bismack Biyombo has been remarkably high (1.3 per game) when he is playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Rudy Gobert has sunk 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Rudy Gobert has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile. The number of 3-pointers converted against Bismack Biyombo has been remarkably high (1.3 per game) when he is playing on the road and facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase plays for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Julian Champagnie Points Scored Props • San Antonio

J. Champagnie
small forward SF • San Antonio
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-135
Under
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
9.94
Best Odds
Over
-135
Under
+100

Julian Champagnie has gone over 5.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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